变井储系数的确定方法及其在反褶积分析中的应用

中针对变井储试井分析问题，给出了确定变井储系数及计算续流量的方法，并用反褶积分析积分析方法解释了未出现径向流的早期测压数据，给出了解决早期试井资料分析问题的有效方法。     

一种实现目标定位与跟踪的新方法

本文介绍了一种采用圆周阵对目标声源进行被动定位和跟踪的方法，与线阵不同，圆四可对目标进行全方位跟踪，且测距精度不受目标方位变化的影响，文中给出了圆周阵的测距，测向公式，并从理论上分析了测距性能，计算机仿真结果验证了理论分析的正确性。     

带有外界约束的人口扩散系统的最优出生率控制

本文考虑单边约束的依赖于年龄的人口扩散系统，讨论其最优出生率（边界）控制，得到其最优控制的存在性的必要条件。     

外循环型鼓泡式反应器气含率及循环液速率

对直径２８０ｍｍ、扩大直径５００ｍｍ、外循环管直径６５ｍｍ、总高２９００ｍｍ的外循环型鼓泡式反应器，在气体空塔线速Ｕｇ为０．０４－０．５５ｍ／ｓ时，用静压差法和脉冲示踪法测定了不同部位的气含率Ｅｇ，Ｅｐｇ和循环液速率ｕ１，并获得了它们的关联式：对反应段，Ｅｇ＝０．４５５６Ｕ＾０．３１９８ｇ〔Ｕｇ／（Ｕｇ＋Ｕ１）〕＾０．７３９６；对反应器扩大段，Ｅｕｇ＝０．９３８９Ｕ＾０．４４３１ｕｇ；对循环管，Ｅ     

综合应用地震属性、测井数据反演储层参数

本文研究了样点地震属性的特征提取，利用BP神经网络建立测井声波时差和地震属性的非线性映射关系。采用距离加权平均对研究区所有井的反演结果进行外推。为了提高分辨率和计算结果的准确性，详细分析、研究了适合于地震信号分解和重构的小波，以及测井声波时差和地震波阻抗与层界面的关系。最后，对反演的声波时差资料进行界面影响校正，进而计算出较符合实际情况的孔隙率参数。经已知井和新钻井验证，计算结果和实际情况相一致，效果令人满意。     

Trends in Hydrological Parameters of a Southern Brazilian Watershed and its Relation to Human Induced Changes

The Piracicaba river basin is a subtropical watershed located in the southeastern region of Brazil. With an area of 12 400 km², the basin is a typical example of new landscape resulting from development in tropical and sub-tropical regions: establishment of intensive industrial and agricultural processes were followed by significant population growth and water management. This scenario has led to significant increase in water demand and decrease in water quality. The main objective of this study is the detection of changes in the patterns of flow and precipitation in the basin, and its possible relation to man-induced changes. Statistical analyses were performed on records of precipitation, evapotranspiration and streamflow, from 1947 to 1991. Precipitation and evapotranspiration totals showed significant increasing trends for the entire basin. From eight streamflow gauge stations, half showed significant decreasing trend. The most probable cause of such trends is the export of water from the basin to the metropolitan region of São Paulo city.     

一种简便的评定引战配合效率方法

在导弹近炸引信起爆延时具有随机性基础上，本文建立了一种用延时及其数学特征表示的评定引战配合效率的简便方法，并对有关应用问题进行了讨论。     

微米级冷轧带钢厚度控制系统

分析、讨论了冷轧应用的各种厚度控制的优缺点，介绍质量流量厚度控制原理和控制精度极高的微米级带钢厚控（μＡＧＣ）系统及其可能产生的经济效益。     

潜油电动机滑行时间的自动测量

潜油电动机滑行时间是评定电动机装配质量的重要指标。鉴于手工测量电动机滑行时间存在效率低和误差较大的不足,设计了潜油电动机滑行时间自动测量系统。它通过分压电路和计算机自动测量系统测量潜油电动机定子上感应的电压变化状况,即可得到电动机滑行时间。用手工测量、波形分析和自动测量3种方法测量6种型号电动机的滑行时间,其中5种滑行时间长于3s,判定为合格;1种滑行时间短于3s,判定为不合格。3种方式测量的滑行时间具有较好的一致性,仅波形分析法得出的滑行时间比自动测量的滑行时间稍长,表明自动测量方法的精度和重复性可满足要求。     

Network traffic prediction based on a new time series model

Fast and accurate methods for predicting traffic properties and trend are essential for dynamic network resource management and congestion control. With the aim of performing online and feasible prediction of network traffic, this paper proposes a novel time series model, named adaptive autoregressive (AAR). This model is built upon an adaptive memory‐shortening technique and an adaptive‐order selection method originally developed by this study. Compared to the conventional one‐step ahead prediction using traditional Box–Jenkins time series models (e.g. AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA and ARFIMA), performance results obtained from actual Internet traffic traces have demonstrated that the proposed AAR model is able to support online prediction of dynamic network traffic with reasonable accuracy and relatively low computation complexity. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.