基于PCA-LINMAP-FCE的通信系统维修性评价方法

为提高通信系统维修性评价的实用性和可操作性,提出了一种基于 PCA-LINMAP-FCE 的维修性评价方法。在构建简化的维修性评价指标体系的基础上,将 PCA-LINMAP 与模糊综合评判（ FCE）方法相结合,从定量和定性的角度对维修性进行评价。实例仿真分析表明,该方法可操作性强,且有效地降低了评价的主观随意性,使维修设计和作业人员全面掌控通信系统装备维修性的影响因素,能够为科学制定设计方案和维修实施决策方案提供决策信息。     

Chemical grout diffusion in porous rock based on response of geoelectric field

Porous rock chemical grouting simulation test was conducted using established large scale physical model. Chemical grout diffusing rule in porous media with different permeability was studied by monitoring the spontaneous potential and exciting current response during grouting. The results show that chemical grout spread evenly in all directions and diffusion areas are approximately concentric circles in the cross section of homogeneous transverse isotropic pore medium, the grout spread filling range can be quantitatively decrypted by the diffusion radius. The average diffusion speed and radius increase approximately as the square root with the permeability coefficient in different permeability media under the same conditions. Calculation results using Maag cylindrical diffusion equation show that the calculated value of diffusion radius is in good agreement with the test value under different grouting pressures and permeability conditions.     

One View of the Future

Abstract

Floods, droughts, water scarcity, and water contamination are some among many water problems that are present today and will be even more noticeable in the future. In the past, many different tools have been used for simulation and optimization of complex water resources systems in order to provide an improved basis for decision making. The continuing evolution of information technology (hardware and software) creates a good environment for the transition to new tools. Application of the systems approach to water resources planning, management, and operations has been established as one of the most important advances made in the field of water resources engineering. Based on the lessons learned, this contribution provides my personal view on the tools to be used in the future. Two paradigm shifts are discussed. The first one is focusing on the complexity of the water resources domain and the complexity of the modelling tools in an environment characterised by continuous rapid technological development. The second one deals with water-related data availability and natural variability of domain variables in time and space affecting the uncertainty of water resources decision making.     

按风险率模型分析的设计雨型

设计雨型是暴雨洪水分析不可或缺的基本要素,为此,本文建立了雨型分析的风险率模型,探讨了考虑风险率模式下的雨型设计方法,并以此方法分析了深圳市深圳雨量站1969—2002年实测逐时降雨资料,获得了深圳市不同重现期下的设计雨型,并与深圳市目前主要的几种设计雨型进行了比较.结果显示:(1)典型暴雨同倍比放大法和模糊聚类分析方法都存在风险率设计不足的问题;(2)SCS-Ⅱ法则因为安全度过高不适合深圳地区使用;(3)典型暴雨同频率放大法设计雨型与风险率分析法相似,但雨峰设计存在差异;(4)风险率分析方法对设计雨型的分析具有科学合理的指导意义,可以作为一种雨型的设计方法.     

基于均匀设计的砂砾石层浆液扩散规律研究

在砂砾石层灌浆中,渗流对浆液在不同方向上扩散的影响一直是研究的空白。现通过室内灌浆模拟试验,采用均匀设计的方法构建试验方案,对不同渗流强度砂砾石层中浆液在不同方向上的扩散规律进行了研究,分析了灌浆压力P、水灰比m、渗透系数k以及渗流速度v对浆液在不同方向上扩散半径R0的影响,并得出回归关系式。试验结果表明:对浆液扩散半径R0影响最显著的是灌浆压力P,渗透系数k的影响次之;渗透速度v与上游向扩散半径Ru负相关,与下游向扩散半径Rd显著正相关,而对侧向扩散半径Rl的影响很小。     

Modeling and analysis of effects of precipitation and vegetation coverage on runoff and sediment yield in Jinsha River Basin

This paper focuses on the effects of precipitation and vegetation coverage on runoff and sediment yield in the Jinsha River Basin. Results of regression analysis were taken as input variables to investigate the applicability of the adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to simulating annual runoff and sediment yield. Correlation analysis indicates that runoff and sediment yield are positively correlated with the precipitation indices, while negatively correlated with the vegetation indices. Furthermore, the results of stepwise regression show that annual precipitation is the most important factor influencing the variation of runoff, followed by forest coverage, and their contributions to the variation of runoff are 69.8% and 17.3%, respectively. For sediment yield, rainfall erosivity is the most important factor, followed by forest coverage, and their contributions to the variation of sediment yield are 49.3% and 24.2%, respectively. The ANFIS model is of high precision in runoff forecasting, with a relative error of less than 5%, but of poor precision in sediment yield forecasting, indicating that precipitation and vegetation coverage can explain only part of the variation of sediment yield, and that other impact factors, such as human activities, should be sufficiently considered as well.     

Comprehensive Performance Office Buildings and Assessment Method for Its Appliciation

采用改进层次分析法,构建了一个包含承重、维护、装饰装修、给水排水、采暖、空调、电气分系统的办公建筑综合评价指标体系;确立了该指标体系各指标定量或定性的评价标准及等级,并建立了相应的模糊评价模型,实现了办公建筑从分系统到整体的模糊量化评价．最后,结合工程实例对本文提出的综合性能评价指标体系和模糊评价方法进行了验证．     

中国钢铁企业环境经营绩效的模糊综合评价

环境经营越来越受到中国企业界的重视。绩效评价具有多因素性、模糊性与综合性等特征。为客观全面评价中国钢铁企业环境经营的绩效水平,在构建环境经营评价指标体系的基础上,利用模糊综合评价方法与层次分析法建立多层次模糊综合评价模型,为企业进行环境经营绩效的评价提供参考。实证分析结果表明,该评价模型和体系具有可操作性。     

直升机纵向系统鲁棒滑模控制律设计

在建立系统全包线T-S模糊模型的基础上,基于系统品质要求和可测状态约束条件,采用参数鲁棒设计方法,确定反馈控制参数的可用集合,实现等效控制律,相应确定系统的滑模面参数,给出了直升机纵向控制系统的全包线滑模控制律设计结果。仿真结果显示,系统具有较强的抗外界干扰能力,动态品质满足指标要求,表明文中提出的设计方法可行且有效。     

模糊诱导有序加权平均算子

给出了诱导有序加权平均算子的矩阵表示,在此基础上提出了模糊诱导有序加权平均算子,讨论了模糊诱导有序加权平均算子的相关性质,并将模糊诱导有序加权平均算子用于一个投资决策实例分析中。