围术期麻醉深度的模糊控制

针对手术过程中麻醉深度的控制问题,提出了一种PID参数自整定模糊控制策略。应用这种方法对麻醉过程中平均动脉血压的控制进行了计算机仿真研究,获得了良好的仿真结果。理论分析和仿真结果证明了此方法的准确性和可靠性,为围术期麻醉深度的控制提供了一种新方法。。     

指派问题的模糊数学方法求解研究及其启发

从指派问题的最优化实质出发,分析了指派问题匈牙利解法的管理意义,进而导出了若干有实用指导意义的指派原则。根据指派问题的现实特点进行扩展,建立了模糊效率矩阵,并按导出的指派原则结合模糊数学原理求解了该模糊效率矩阵。对指派问题模糊化求解的过程启发我们:管理问题的定量化处理意义,不仅在于能求出最优解,而且在于它同时含有丰富的管理指导意义。     

The historical workstation project

Since 1978 research in the development of software dedicated to the specific problems of historical research has been undertaken at the Max-Planck-Institute für Geschichte in Göttingen. From a background of practical experiences during these years, a concept of what an appropriate workstation for an historian would be has been derived. It stresses the necessity of three components: (a) software, derived from a detailed analysis of what differentiates information contained in historical sources from such present in current material, (b) databases which are as easily available as printed books and (c) knowledge bases which allow software and data bases to draw upon the information contained in historical reference works. A loose network of European research projects, dedicated to the realization of such a setup, is described.Manfred Thaller has a Ph.D. (1975) in Modern and Medieval History and held a post-doctoral fellowship in sociology at the Institute for Advanced Studies (Vienna). Since 1978 he has been at the Max-Planck-Institute for History, where he is a research fellow for Historical Information Science.     

基于层次分析与模糊综合评价的辽宁省《行业用水定额》评价

回顾辽宁省《行业用水定额》的制定及发展历程,分析其在辽宁省水资源管理各工作环节中的应用情况。基于层次分析法建立《行业用水定额》应用评价指标体系,该体系分目标层、主准则层、次准则层3层,共有23项量化评价指标。应用模糊综合评判法构建《行业用水定额》应用评价模型,并给出了具体评判过程。模型计算结果表明,辽宁省《行业用水定额》在水资源管理工作中的综合应用情况为优,最终得分为5.888。     

基于价值—价格模糊模型的东雷二期抽黄水资源定价研究

水资源作为维持人类生存和发展的重要资源,其定价保证了人们合理高效利用水资源.本文针对水资源定价问题展开研究,以东雷二期抽黄为例,采用模糊数学的方法,全面考虑水价制定过程中的影响因素,建立水价模糊综合评价模型,研究水资源价值评价和水价计算.科学制定东雷二期抽黄水资源水价,实现区域水资源高效利用和经济社会全面发展.     

无人车运动稳定性的模糊神经网络PID控制

受转向或侧向风影响,无人驾驶车在运行的过程中易产生失稳.采用了模糊神经网络PID算法,将系统输出偏差的变化量,经模糊化后输入到神经网络PID控制器中,对车辆的质心侧偏角、横摆角速度进行调整,达到控制车辆平稳运行的目的.在不同的工况下对算法的有效性进行了试验分析.结果表明,该算法使系统响应超调减少,反应时间加快,具有较强的抗干扰性.     

一级倒立摆SIRMs动态权重模糊推理算法仿真

为解决倒立摆采用常规模糊控制算法,其推理规则数目随输入变量成指数增长的问题,对直线一级倒立摆设计了基于SIRMs和动态连接权重模型的模糊控制器,该控制器将倒立摆的四输入变量的模糊控制化成单维模糊控制问题来解决,大大减少了模糊规则数。仿真结果表明,该控制算法能够较好地完成倒立摆的运动控制,具有很强的鲁棒性和动静态特性。     

基于PCA-LINMAP-FCE的通信系统维修性评价方法

为提高通信系统维修性评价的实用性和可操作性,提出了一种基于 PCA-LINMAP-FCE 的维修性评价方法。在构建简化的维修性评价指标体系的基础上,将 PCA-LINMAP 与模糊综合评判（ FCE）方法相结合,从定量和定性的角度对维修性进行评价。实例仿真分析表明,该方法可操作性强,且有效地降低了评价的主观随意性,使维修设计和作业人员全面掌控通信系统装备维修性的影响因素,能够为科学制定设计方案和维修实施决策方案提供决策信息。     

One View of the Future

Abstract

Floods, droughts, water scarcity, and water contamination are some among many water problems that are present today and will be even more noticeable in the future. In the past, many different tools have been used for simulation and optimization of complex water resources systems in order to provide an improved basis for decision making. The continuing evolution of information technology (hardware and software) creates a good environment for the transition to new tools. Application of the systems approach to water resources planning, management, and operations has been established as one of the most important advances made in the field of water resources engineering. Based on the lessons learned, this contribution provides my personal view on the tools to be used in the future. Two paradigm shifts are discussed. The first one is focusing on the complexity of the water resources domain and the complexity of the modelling tools in an environment characterised by continuous rapid technological development. The second one deals with water-related data availability and natural variability of domain variables in time and space affecting the uncertainty of water resources decision making.     

按风险率模型分析的设计雨型

设计雨型是暴雨洪水分析不可或缺的基本要素,为此,本文建立了雨型分析的风险率模型,探讨了考虑风险率模式下的雨型设计方法,并以此方法分析了深圳市深圳雨量站1969—2002年实测逐时降雨资料,获得了深圳市不同重现期下的设计雨型,并与深圳市目前主要的几种设计雨型进行了比较.结果显示:(1)典型暴雨同倍比放大法和模糊聚类分析方法都存在风险率设计不足的问题;(2)SCS-Ⅱ法则因为安全度过高不适合深圳地区使用;(3)典型暴雨同频率放大法设计雨型与风险率分析法相似,但雨峰设计存在差异;(4)风险率分析方法对设计雨型的分析具有科学合理的指导意义,可以作为一种雨型的设计方法.