某坝肩边坡开挖优化设计方案研究

为了研究前坪水库右坝肩边坡在设计方案和优化设计方案开挖下的边坡稳定性分析,采用数值分析和极限平衡法进行研究,首先针对边坡典型剖面进行了数值分析,研究边坡的位移和应力分布规律,然后运用极限平衡法得出边坡的安全系数,两种方法结合不仅可以反映边坡的稳定性和位移场之间的关系,而且可以用工程界所熟悉的安全系数来评价边坡的稳定性。结果表明边坡开挖优化设计方案满足边坡稳定性规范要求,且优化方案减少了开挖量,节省了工程投资,使得工程尽早发挥效益。     

Stochastically resilient extended Kalman filtering for discrete-time nonlinear systems with sensor failures

Missing sensor data is a common problem, which severely influences the overall performance of modern data-intensive control and computing applications. In order to address this important issue, a novel resilient extended Kalman filter is proposed for discrete-time nonlinear stochastic systems with sensor failures and random observer gain perturbations. The failure mechanisms of multiple sensors are assumed to be independent of each other with different failure rates. The locally unbiased robust minimum mean square filter is designed for state estimation under these conditions. The performance of the proposed estimation method is verified by means of numerical Monte Carlo simulation of two different nonlinear stochastic systems, involving a sinusoidal system and a Lorenz oscillator system.     

Modelling the dynamics of the students’ academic performance in the German region of the North Rhine-Westphalia: an epidemiological approach with uncertainty

Student academic underachievement is a concern of paramount importance in Europe, where around 15% of the students in the last high school courses do not achieve the minimum knowledge academic requirement. In this paper, we propose a model based on a system of differential equations to study the dynamics of the students’ academic performance in the German region of the North Rhine-Westphalia. This approach is supported by the idea that both good and bad study habits, are a mixture of personal decisions and influence of classmates. This model allows us to forecast the student academic performance by means of confidence intervals over the next few years.     

Finite horizon optimal control of non-linear discrete-time switched systems using adaptive dynamic programming with ε-error bound

In this paper, we aim to solve the finite-horizon optimal control problem for a class of non-linear discrete-time switched systems using adaptive dynamic programming(ADP) algorithm. A new ε-optimal control scheme based on the iterative ADP algorithm is presented which makes the value function converge iteratively to the greatest lower bound of all value function indices within an error according to ε within finite time. Two neural networks are used as parametric structures to implement the iterative ADP algorithm with ε-error bound, which aim at approximating the value function and the control policy, respectively. And then, the optimal control policy is obtained. Finally, a simulation example is included to illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.     

Effects of individuals' locus of control and computer self-efficacy on their e-learning acceptance in high-tech companies

High-tech companies encounter intense competition in today's global economy. With rapid changes in working environments, high-tech employees must learn quickly and effectively to solve difficult problems and increase their productivity. Many large high-tech companies have recently implemented electronic learning (e-learning) for employee training. However, e-learning systems are expensive and often underutilised. Therefore, understanding the factors associated with acceptance to e-learning are of priority concern. By integrating locus of control, computer self-efficacy and technology acceptance model (TAM) into one model, this study examines the feasibility of the extended TAM to explain employee acceptance of e-learning systems. Data were collected from 223 employees at five high-tech companies located in the Hsinchu Science Park, Taiwan. Analytical results indicate that locus of control had significant direct effects on perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use. Computer self-efficacy had significant direct effects on perceived ease of use and behavioural intention to use. Overall, analytical results provide strong support for using the extended TAM to explain user acceptance of e-learning systems. The research and practical implications of findings are discussed.     

Designing multilayered wire‐grid polarizers using a monochromatic recursive convolution finite‐difference time‐domain algorithm

Multilayered wire‐grid polarizers (WGP) find application as low‐reflection polarizers in projection‐type liquid crystal display devices. A multilayered WGP is formed by adding thin layers on top of the metal ridges of an ordinary WGP. The ordinary WGP consists of a periodic array of parallel metal ridges, where the period of the array and the width of any individual metal ridge are typically less than the wavelength of the incident light. Such WGPs are often used as efficient polarizers. However, in certain applications, it is important to reduce the reflection from the WGP while preserving the polarization efficiency. One of the ways to achieve this goal is to add thin layers on top of the metal ridges of the ordinary WGP. The reduction in reflection from the multilayered WGP depends on the number and material of these additional layers. In this paper, we describe a design method for multilayered WGPs based on an effective medium theory, thin‐film computation method and a monochromatic recursive convolution finite‐difference time‐domain algorithm. The goal of design process is to identify suitable materials and thicknesses for the additional thin layers needed to lower the reflection appreciably. The design method is explained with the help of bilayered WGPs.     

基于背景和帧间差分法的运动目标提取

在自动人脸识别系统中,人体目标的检测是该系统识别人脸的前期关键步骤之一。为了能快速准确地检测出运动的人体目标,提出了背景差分法和帧间差分法相结合的运动目标提取检测方法。针对视频中的背景因镜头摆动或物体的移入/移出而有所变动,给出了几种提取背景的方法,比较各种方法后决定采用中值法快速地进行背景建模,随后采用自适应背景更新,结合两种差分法检测运动目标。通过实验验证了本文算法的有效性。     

影响蜂窝状钢骨混凝土L形柱性能的参数分析

针对钢骨混凝土L形柱,提出了一种新型的钢骨形式.为了掌握该构件的受力特性,通过ANSYS软件,对腹板开洞率、配钢率、加载角、偏心距等影响因素进行理论分析.结果表明,在相对偏心距较大的情况下构件承载力会急剧下降,而且存在不利荷载角的问题;腹板开洞能有效地减少钢骨与混凝土之间的滑移,但对承载力的削弱有限,并就该构件的最佳配钢率提出建议.     

基于非线性滤波估计的北斗B1 QPSK 信号跟踪方法

复杂环境下的多普勒频移变化及信号功率衰减均会对载波准确跟踪造成影响. 在研究北斗卫星B1 频点信号结构的基础上, 建立以环路中相关积分值为观测量的非线性EKF 模型和UKF模型, 并提出利用滤波估计状态量进行状态反馈控制的方法, 从而解决了载波跟踪环路在高动态及弱信号环境中难以高性能工作的问题. 实验结果表明,状态反馈控制的EKF 模型和UKF滤波模型能准确地跟踪弱信号及高动态下的信号变化, 从而有效控制跟踪误差, 为实现快速准确的载波跟踪奠定了基础.

     

THE ESTIMATION AND PREDICTION OF SUBSET BILINEAR TIME SERIES MODELS WITH APPLICATIONS

Abstract. In this paper we define subset bilinear time series models, and then describe an algorithm for the estimation of these models. It is also pointed out that for this class of non-linear time series models, it is possible to obtain optimal several step predictors. The estimation technique of these models is illustrated with respect to three time series, and the optimal several steps ahead forecasts of these time series models are calculated. A comparison of these forecasts is made with the forecasts obtained by the best linear autoregressive and threshold autoregressive models. The residuals obtained from the models are tested for independence and Gaussianity using higher order moments.