Time and cost securing in complex large-scale projects

Meeting time and cost objectives in complex projects involves specific problems and risks. An attempt is made to analyse the components of total cost increase of a project caused by time delay. An outline is given as to how these considerations can be used to estimate cost increases in investors' decision situations as well as to ascertain fair contractual penalties and claims for compensation and for the evaluation of justified project acceleration costs.     

Frequency domain identification of Wiener models

This paper proposes a frequency domain algorithm for Wiener model identifications based on exploring the fundamental frequency and harmonics generated by the unknown nonlinearity. The convergence of the algorithm is established in the presence of white noise. No a priori knowledge of the structure of the nonlinearity is required and the linear part can be nonparametric.     

铁液洁净度对凝固热力学参数的影响

为了给高洁净钢连铸细晶技术提供相关理论依据，在高温钼丝炉中通过对电解纯铁加金属铝和硅脱氧，获得不同铁液洁净度的试样。利用差热分析法测定了试样在相同冷却速度下的过冷度。利用凝固过程热力学理论研究了铁液洁净度与过冷度、凝固热力学驱动力、形核功和临界晶核半径等的关系。结果表明：随着铁液洁净度的提高，铁液凝固时的过冷度增大，形核所需的凝固热力学驱动力变大，非均质形核功和临界晶核半径减小。     

Markov analysis of qualitative dynamics1

Common sense sometimes predicts events to be likely or unlikely rather than merely possible. We extend methods of qualitative reasoning to predict the relative likelihoods of possible qualitative behaviors by viewing the dynamics of a system as a Markov chain over its transition graph. This involves adding qualitative or quantitative estimates of transition probabilities to each of the transitions and applying the standard theory of Markov chains to distinguish persistent states from transient states and to calculate recurrence times, settling times, and probabilities for ending up in each state. Much of the analysis depends solely on qualitative estimates of transition probabilities, which follow directly from theoretical considerations and which lead to qualitative predictions about entire classes of systems. Quantitative estimates for specific systems are derived empirically and lead to qualitative and quantitative conclusions, most of which are insensitive to small perturbations in the estimated transition probabilities. The algorithms are straightforward and efficient.     

A direct estimate of JIc from the load versus load-line displacement record

The purpose of this study is to examine the current standard fracture toughness test procedure to determine if there could be an easier method to get a J_Ic value from the test record. The current method for determining J_Ic involves a detailed computational and construction procedure. The objective in this study is to simplify the analysis for the determination of J_Ic. The results of this study show that the load and displacement record for a fracture toughness test can be used to directly estimate a J_Q value, a provisional value for fracture toughness, J_Ic. The J value taken at the maximum load point can be used along with an adjustment factor to estimate a J_Q value. This J_Q estimate is close to the one obtained from the construction procedure of ASTM Standard E 1820. When a unit‐sized specimen is tested, that is, a specimen with a width of 50 mm and a thickness of 25 mm the maximum load point provides a direct estimate of J_Q. Other sizes require a size adjustment factor, which is simply a square root relationship between the width of the test specimen and a unit width. The proposed new method of estimating J_Q is simple in concept and requires a minimum number of calculations. It appears to produce values of J_Q which are comparable to those obtained from the ASTM E1820 construction procedure and may produce less scatter.     

ISIS全局优化多道反演技术在墩2块岩性油藏描述中的应用

为进一步落实墩2块戴一段岩性油藏成藏规模及分布规律，针对该储层薄、横向变化快的特点，利用ISIS全局优化多道反演技术，对该构造区岩性储层进行了精细描述，较好的预测出戴一段储层平面分布规律。     

非透视3点问题的解析解

由于在机器人导航等领域新的图像装置不符合透视规则,无法运用传统的透视位置估计方法,采用吴氏零点分解方法,给出非透视3点问题的解析解.利用新图像装置的几何条件,建立了非透视3点方程系统.     

利用多普勒信息的波达方向最大似然估计方法

为了充分利用信号的时域特性来改善信号波达方向（ＤＯＡ）的估计性能，本文从最大似然估计出发，推导出了有限快拍，低信噪比情况下多普勒信号波达方向的迭代估计计算法，为进一步减小运算量，本文还推导了一种简化算法，本文提出的两种算法对低信噪比，少快拍数下多普勒信号的ＤＯＡ估计性能比不利用时域特性的ＭＬ方法有明显改善，Ｍｏｎｔｅ－Ｃａｒｌｏ实验验证了本文方法的有效性。     

带限信号高频重建的一种新的正则外推算法

本文提出生种新的带限信号的外推方法，该方法能够很好地抑制噪声干扰，且计算复杂性较低，本文给出算法，证明了收敛性，最后给出了误差计算机实验结果。