Simulation of runoff and phosphorus transport in a Carpathian catchment,Slovakia

A comprehensive, GIS‐based modelling approach is developed to estimate runoff and phosphorus transport within a watershed at a daily time step. The approach relies on the use of GIS data for deriving major critical model parameters that exhibit distinct spatial variability over the catchment. Surface runoff is calculated by a modified rational method, which depends upon rainfall intensity, soil moisture status, slope, land‐use and soil characteristics. Phosphorus loading is estimated as a function of the runoff volume and the event mean concentration for different land use categories. A diffusive approximation method is used to trace runoff and phosphorus transport to the basin outlet. The modelling approach is tested in the Margecany catchment, Hornad River basin, Slovakia, to simulate runoff, phosphorus loading, and its transport on a daily time scale using data observed between 1995 and 2000. Satisfactory results of the hydrographs and phosphorus concentration at the basin outlet are obtained, though more efforts regarding the phosphorus cycling and its biochemical reactions need to be clarified by further research. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

马尔柯夫链预测法在证券指数预测中的应用

介绍马尔柯夫链预测法的模糊模型，该模型以集合的模糊划分为依据摒弃了清晰划分的不足．从而保证预测结果的精确性。将该模型应用在证券指数的预测上，取得了绝对误差、相对误差较小的结果。     

可靠性预计方法及思考

本文介绍了可靠性预计的目的,并对当前较为常见的可靠性预计模型或方法做了比较和说明,也对造成可靠性预计局限性的原因做了分析,最后对在可靠性工程工作中对待可靠性预计的态度做了探讨.     

Effects of circumferential pick spacing on boom type roadheader cutting head performance

Effects of equal and unequal circumferential pick spacing on the performance of boom type roadheaders having cylindrical cutting heads are investigated. For this purpose, two experimental cutting heads with equal and unequal circumferential spacing are designed and manufactured. The cutting head with unequal circumferential spacing is specifically designed to prevent tool-holder overlap at the nose section. Manufacturing difficulties associated with equal circumferential pick spacing due to tool-holder overlap are discussed with solid modeling and practical applications. The heads are tested at Park Cayirhan Coal Mine in Turkey and their cutting performances are analysed. Although better cutting performance for equal circumferential spacing are predicted by force–balance analysis, in situ measurements of instantaneous (net) traversing speed and cutting rate, pick consumption rate and machine vibration show that no significant difference exists between the performances of the two cutting heads.     

外购粗铅检验准确性测试

通过对外购粗铅的整体熔化，测试出外购粗铅中金、银的含量，以验证外购粗铅检验的准确性，确保铅冶炼金银平衡。     

曲流河沉积亚相的地震识别方法

本文提出利用三维地震资料相干数据分析研究曲流河沉积相的方法，其优点是在地质分析的基础上，对沉积体系有较为明显的识别特征，且在钻井较少的地区尤为实用。该方法在济阳拗陷东北部上第三系应用中取得了较为明显的效果。     

基于小波除噪和神经网络理论的气固循环流化床颗粒浓度预测

提出了一种将混沌的相空间重构、小波包分析和神经网络相结合的新方法用于预测气-固循环流化床的颗粒浓度。首先利用小波包进行数据的消噪,然后用混沌方法重构相空间吸引子,用径向基神经网络拟合吸引子上的全局整体映射,构成混合预测模型。实验结果表明,将此混合模型用于预测气-固循环流化床的颗粒浓度,能达到较好的预测效果,预测精度比奇异值分解和傅里叶变换除噪高。     

平湖油气田储层及含油气预测

平湖油气田是东海第一个开发的复合型油气田 ,主要含油气层段为渐新统花港组油藏 (H2 -H8)和始新统平湖组气藏 (P1 -P1 1 ) ,首期开发区为F1、F2断块 ,二期开发区为B1、B2断块。在平湖油气田开发过程中 ,针对花港组油藏波阻抗与岩性相关性好 ,而平湖组中下部波阻抗与岩性相关性不好的这种地质和地球物理特点 ,应用国内外先进的技术和方法 ,尝试多种方法预测储层及含油气 ,取得了较好的预测成果。