计及主/被动需求响应下基于合作博弈的微网–配电网协调优化调度

随着含高比例可再生能源的并网型微网不断增加,微网与配电网的交互更加紧密。为解决两者作为不同利益主体双方利益分配问题,提出一种计及主/被动需求响应下基于合作博弈的微网-配电网协调优化模型。首先,考虑消费者心理学,建立了基于Logistic模糊函数的电负荷主动需求响应模型。然后,建立了以最优热电比为目标的热负荷被动需求响应模型。最后,微网与配电网作为参与者组成合作联盟,以讨价还价理论为核心,各自利益与联盟利益最大化为目标,协商确定了交互电价与交互功率,用改进的Shapley分配法分配了组成联盟后的额外收益,并通过基于参数自学习的自适应二次变异差分进化算法对其求解。通过算例分析对比可知,用户、微网、配电网三方利益均有所提升,证明了所提方案的合理性。     

基于广义斯塔克尔伯格博弈的微电网能源管理

为了实现微电网的能源优化管理,最大化单个微电网和多个用户的群体效益,基于非合作博弈理论,建立单个微电网和多个用户之间的广义斯塔克尔伯格博弈模型,其中,微电网作为博弈的领导者,以最大化收益为目标优化电价,引导用户调整用电策略,用户作为博弈的追随者,以最大化各自的效用函数为目标,在给定电价下决定用电策略,并影响电价制定。将广义纳什均衡问题转化为变分不等式,并采用固定步长的投影算法和最佳响应算法进行求解。某社区微电网的实例验证了所提模型的有效性。     

基于主从博弈的多主体投资多微网系统优化配置

随着越来越多微电网协同运行,微网与微网间、微网与配网间电能交互过程愈发复杂,同时也影响着微网运营商及配网运营商的投资利益。为了探索两者间联合投资的最佳规划策略,提出一种基于主从博弈的多主体投资多微网系统优化配置方法。首先,在多微网系统模型基础上,构建考虑多微电网运营商运行成本、经济收益,以及配电网运营商投资微电网成本、延缓配电网升级及售购电收益的函数模型。然后,分别以多微网系统支付函数最小和配网收益最大为目标建立主从博弈模型,并提出自适应遗传算法与粒子群算法相结合的算法,求解多微网系统分布式电源最优配置。最后,通过4组方案进行对比实验,证明了所提规划方法能更好地平衡多微网运营商和配网运营商间的收益。     

Analysis of retailers’ coalition stability for supply chain based on LCS and stable set

To attain the general form of stable coalition structure, this paper addressed the problem of retailers’ coalition stability in a two-stage supply chain consisting of one supplier and multiple retailers. A profit gain function was established via introducing market gain coefficient and coalition cost coefficient for different coalition structures. Based on the function, the profit of each retailer in all kinds of coalition structures was analysed, and the general feature of a stable coalition structure was attained by the largest consistent set method and the stable set method. Furthermore, some insights were obtained. For example, stable coalition structures are equidistributed or approximate equidistributed; with supplier’s cost increasing, the size of the retailers’ coalition increases. Finally, the above conclusions are verified by numerical simulation. The results of this paper provide a reference for retailers’ coalition in a supply chain, such as automobile or Information Technology supply chain.     

游戏设计中的极简主义风格研究

目的研究游戏设计中极简主义风格的特点与形成原因。方法以当下游戏产品设计中极简主义设计思想的大量应用为启示,结合当下具有代表性的运用了极简主义设计风格的游戏作品,引入了符号学和游戏心理学等理论模型,分析了极简主义风格在游戏视觉特征以及用户体验特征中的体现与意义,并且总结了造成游戏中极简主义设计风格大量出现的环境因素。结论极简主义风格在游戏设计中的流行是受到极简主义设计风格自身的特点和市场用户等环境因素的综合影响。极简主义风格能够很好地与游戏设计的需求相契合,其简洁直观、注重展现游戏产品本质内涵的特征,让它更能够适应游戏设计领域与市场需求的大环境,并且将会对游戏设计领域产生巨大影响。     

团体标准协调机理研究:一个动态分析

从标准经济学属性上,团体标准是介于事实标准和正式标准之间的一类标准.如何协调好事实标准和正式标准之间的选择关系是团体标准微观层面高效的关键.本文基于"囚徒困境"经典双人博弈模型,构建三阶段协调博弈模型分析团体标准在演化过程中事实标准与正式标准的协调选择问题.研究表明,在已知未来正式标准(即团体标准)优于事实标准以及正式标准的绩效高于事实标准的前提下,低折现和参与者缺乏耐心能够促成尽早"合作".在此基础上,本文基于实际给出提高团体标准收益预期、加快标准版本更新速率和重视"小"企业等政策建议.     

Restrictive mechanism of flow control among non-cooperative Internet users

The flow and congestion control methods based on one-shot game model with non-cooperative game theory can explain the non-cooperative behavior of Internet users.However,the low effciency of equilibrium solutions affects their utility.Here the behavior of flow and congestion control based on infinitely repeated game models is addressed;the repeated and infinitely repeated flow and congestion control game model is presented; the existence and optimization of the Nash equilibrium point are proved;the discount ...     

Robust solutions to Stackelberg games: Addressing bounded rationality and limited observations in human cognition

How do we build algorithms for agent interactions with human adversaries? Stackelberg games are natural models for many important applications that involve human interaction, such as oligopolistic markets and security domains. In Stackelberg games, one player, the leader, commits to a strategy and the follower makes her decision with knowledge of the leader's commitment. Existing algorithms for Stackelberg games efficiently find optimal solutions (leader strategy), but they critically assume that the follower plays optimally. Unfortunately, in many applications, agents face human followers (adversaries) who — because of their bounded rationality and limited observation of the leader strategy — may deviate from their expected optimal response. In other words, human adversaries' decisions are biased due to their bounded rationality and limited observations. Not taking into account these likely deviations when dealing with human adversaries may cause an unacceptable degradation in the leader's reward, particularly in security applications where these algorithms have seen deployment. The objective of this paper therefore is to investigate how to build algorithms for agent interactions with human adversaries.To address this crucial problem, this paper introduces a new mixed-integer linear program (MILP) for Stackelberg games to consider human adversaries, incorporating: (i) novel anchoring theories on human perception of probability distributions and (ii) robustness approaches for MILPs to address human imprecision. Since this new approach considers human adversaries, traditional proofs of correctness or optimality are insufficient; instead, it is necessary to rely on empirical validation. To that end, this paper considers four settings based on real deployed security systems at Los Angeles International Airport (Pita et al., 2008 [35]), and compares 6 different approaches (three based on our new approach and three previous approaches), in 4 different observability conditions, involving 218 human subjects playing 2960 games in total. The final conclusion is that a model which incorporates both the ideas of robustness and anchoring achieves statistically significant higher rewards and also maintains equivalent or faster solution speeds compared to existing approaches.     

数独基于规则的逐步枚举算法设计

给出了数独(Sudoku)的6条性质,并在此基础上提出了6条推理规则,然后结合空格填写的一个一组,两个一组及更多个一组的枚举算法,在枚举中进行推理.使推理和枚举结合起来,对有唯一解的数独问题,其求解速度比回溯法快得多,同时也能完成许多数独软件无法进行推理计算的数独难题.用两个数独难题进行验证,表明该方法十分有效.     

利润-CVaR准则下的二级供应链定价与订货策略研究

传统的定价与订货策略研究多是建立在风险中性的假设之上,近来也有利用风险度量CVaR研究风险厌恶对库存的影响.因此,以期望利润和CVaR的加权平均为目标函数,研究零售商的订货策略,并在此基础上研究上游供应商的定价策略.这样的利润-CVaR目标既反映了决策者追求高利润的愿望,又反映了其对潜在风险的控制.