渠道偏好行为下双渠道供应链的定价决策

考虑了消费者对零售渠道及直销渠道的渠道偏好程度,研究了单一制造商和单一零售商组成的销售单一产品的双渠道供应链,分别进行了集中决策和分散决策的分析,并得出了集中决策均衡解和制造商主导的Stackelberg均衡解。同时,通过采用价格加成契约实现了供应链的协调和双赢,并通过数值试验验证了分散决策的低效率,通过价格加成契约能实现供应链的帕累托改进。     

改进的r支配高维多目标粒子群优化算法

高维多目标优化问题是广泛存在于实际应用中的复杂优化问题,目前的研究方法大都限于进化算法.本文利用粒子群优化算法求解高维多目标优化问题,提出了一种基于r支配的多目标粒子群优化算法.采用r支配关系进行粒子的比较与选择,并结合粒子群优化算法收敛速度快的优势,使得算法在目标个数增加时仍保持较强的搜索能力;为了弥补由此造成的群体多样性的丢失,优化非r支配阈值的取值策略;此外,引入决策空间的拥挤距离测度,并给出新的外部存储器更新方法,从而进一步防止算法陷入局部最优.对多个基准测试函数的仿真结果表明所得解集在收敛性、多样性以及围绕参考点的分布性上均优于其他两种算法.     

随机需求下多风险偏好零售商的供应链库存决策和协调

考虑由单个风险中性供应商和?? 个风险偏好零售商组成的供应链系统. 假设市场需求是随机的, 且每个零售商面临的需求与其订货量成正比, 采用平均CVaR 准则刻画零售商的风险偏好. 当零售商对称时, 得到系统总的均衡订货量关于零售商数量和风险偏好系数的单调性; 证明当风险偏好系数满足一定条件时, 批发价契约可以使供应链协调; 随机大需求导致系统较高的均衡订货量. 最后通过数值例子表明了需求可变性对系统总的均衡订货量的影响.

     

多参数融合的飞行品质评估模型的建立

目前航空管理机构与航空公司进行飞行品质评估主要是依据经验与简单飞行参数统计数字,这样做难以得出科学、客观的评估结果。基于提升全行业安全保障能力和运行品质的需求,研究了利用计算机技术对飞行品质进行综合评估的方法。选取了理想值逼近法作为飞行品质综合评估的手段,结合波动通道模型作为飞行品质评估的理论基础,基于提出的飞行品质评估模型对飞行品质评估系统进行了设计。对真实的飞行参数数据建立综合评估模型,同时考察多次航班的多个飞行参数,给出综合的飞行品质评估结论,为飞行评估、训练提供理论基础和科学的评判方法。     

电力无线通信异构多网共存环境中的网络选择算法

综合考虑电力业务需求和无线专网性能因素,针对邻域网、LTE无线专网、WiMAX无线专网和230 MHz无线专网等构成的异构多网混合共存场景,提出一种网络选择算法。该算法以AHPTOPSIS算法为基础,首先构建能表征候选网络与决策属性之间关系的决策矩阵,归一化处理获得归一化决策矩阵;利用AHP算法,依据不同业务类型下决策属性与网络性能之间的相对关系定义权重,对归一化决策矩阵加权获得加权归一化决策矩阵;然后对TOPSIS算法进行改进,依据加权归一化决策矩阵确定正负理想值,利用正理想值与候选网络之间的最小距离以及负理想值与候选网络之间的最大距离确定理想网络,计算各候选网络与理想网络之间的有效距离;据此执行候选网络排序和最佳网络选择,以避免运行TOPSIS算法可能存在的排序异常。仿真结果表明,该算法能根据电力业务需求对候选网络进行正确排序和最优选择,且能在满足业务服务质量的同时,提高资源利用率。     

Group decision making based on incomplete multiplicative and fuzzy preference relations

The main aim of this paper is to investigate the group decision making on incomplete multiplicative and fuzzy preference relations without the requirement of satisfying reciprocity property. This paper introduces a new characterization of the multiplicative consistency condition, based on which a method to estimate unknown preference values in an incomplete multiplicative preference relation is proposed. Apart from the multiplicative consistency property among three known preference values, the method proposed also takes the multiplicative consistency property among more than three values into account. In addition, two models for group decision making with incomplete multiplicative preference relations and incomplete fuzzy preference relations are presented, respectively. Some properties of the collective preference relation are further discussed. Numerical examples are provided to make a discussion and comparison with other similar methods.     

基于线性衰减的用户兴趣建模①

针对电子商务参与者兴趣变化异常频繁的特点,提出了基于线性衰减的用户兴趣模型。根据初始注册信息和浏览行为构建了链式用户偏好表,所有用户的偏好链表组成用户兴趣模型。兴趣模型中的用户偏好值在固定时间间隔t进行线性衰减直至变为0而被淘汰。若在衰减过程中产生了用户对某项目新的评分,该项目兴趣模型中的偏好值将被更新为此评分。实验证明,基于线性衰减的用户兴趣建模方法是有效的。     

基于VBA的高级工考试自动评分研究

计算机系统管理员的高级工考试是一项资格认证考试,与之相适应需要一项自动的评分系统.其中选择题的自动评分已经实现,而操作题需要手工阅卷.为了实现对操作题的答题结果自动评分,采用VBA技术分析考生的操作结果,可以实现自动阅卷且准确性高.     

C语言源程序的自动评判系统

自动评判系统为通过编译C语言源程序生成的可执行程序创建进程,输入适当的测试数据,对输出结果与预设答案进行比较和评判。提出了通过匿名管道进行数据输入输出的实现方法,分析了自动评判机制中的主要问题及解决方法,重点对分级评判进行了探讨,进而提出了四级评判机制。     

Using neural network ensembles for bankruptcy prediction and credit scoring

Bankruptcy prediction and credit scoring have long been regarded as critical topics and have been studied extensively in the accounting and finance literature. Artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques have been used to solve these financial decision-making problems. The multilayer perceptron (MLP) network trained by the back-propagation learning algorithm is the mostly used technique for financial decision-making problems. In addition, it is usually superior to other traditional statistical models. Recent studies suggest combining multiple classifiers (or classifier ensembles) should be better than single classifiers. However, the performance of multiple classifiers in bankruptcy prediction and credit scoring is not fully understood. In this paper, we investigate the performance of a single classifier as the baseline classifier to compare with multiple classifiers and diversified multiple classifiers by using neural networks based on three datasets. By comparing with the single classifier as the benchmark in terms of average prediction accuracy, the multiple classifiers only perform better in one of the three datasets. The diversified multiple classifiers trained by not only different classifier parameters but also different sets of training data perform worse in all datasets. However, for the Type I and Type II errors, there is no exact winner. We suggest that it is better to consider these three classifier architectures to make the optimal financial decision.