Parameter Uncertainty and Policy Intensity: Some Extensions and Suggestions for Further Work

The effects of parameter uncertainty on optimal policy have been a matter of interest for academics, and even for some policymakers, for a long time. Two lines of literature have developed analytical results on this matter. The first line uses static models and the second dynamic models. In this dynamic line most of the results are confined to models with a single state and a single control variable. In this paper we want to encourage the analysis of more general dynamic cases. To do so, the results in the dynamic line are extended from one-state and one-control finite horizon models to models with a pair of control variables. We then discuss some of the hurdles which must be surmounted for the results to be made more general and suggests some lines for further research. JEL classification: C61; E61     

An original approximate method for estimating the invariant probability distribution of a large class of multi-dimensional nonlinear stochastic oscillators

This paper proposes an original method for obtaining analytical approximations of the invariant probability density function of multi-dimensional Hamiltonian dissipative dynamic systems under Gaussian white noise excitations, with linear non-conservative parts and nonlinear conservative parts. The method is based on an exact result and a heuristic argument. Its pertinence is attested by numerical tests.     

A note on the Gauss-Jacobi quadrature formulae for singular integral equations of the second kind

A fast and efficient numerical method based on the Gauss-Jacobi quadrature is described that is suitable for solving Fredholm singular integral equations of the second kind that are frequently encountered in fracture and contact mechanics. Here we concentrate on the case when the unknown function is singular at both ends of the interval. Quadrature formulae involve fixed nodal points and provide exact results for polynomials of degree 2n − 1, where n is the number of nodes. Finally, an application of the method to a plane problem involving complete contact is presented.     

低温低渗透砂岩油藏窜流大孔道深部封堵技术研究

所用堵剂为高强度的淀粉接枝聚丙烯酰胺交联凝胶SAMG-1,由<6%淀粉、4.5%-5.5%丙烯酰胺、0.003%-0.006%交联剂组成,35℃成胶时间受淀粉和交联剂用量控制,为18-20小时以上,成胶前黏度-100 mPa.s。该堵剂具有长期稳定性,在储层岩心中注入深度15 cm的堵剂,在35℃候凝48小时后及老化90天后,封堵强度分别为0.61和0.59 MPa/cm,封堵率分别为98.6%和98.1%。该堵剂优先进入高渗层,注入0.5 PV并成胶后,2组双填砂管组成的模型低、高渗管渗透率保留率分别为68.4%、0.7%和69.4%、0.0%。吉林扶余油田西一区+15-8.2区块有水井6口,油井13口,含水率达91.5%,注入水最快在5天内到达油井。报道了该区块整体深部调剖封堵窜流通道的情况,详细叙述了+15-9.2井施工中通过注入压力和井底回压控制注入流量,使堵剂陆续进入原生和次生孔道的工艺作业,该井设计注入堵剂92 m3。6口水井整体调剖后,油井产液量差别减小,产油量增加,有效期已超过了9个月,共增油843 t,含水平均下降3.87%。图7表1参8。     

Continuous time stochastic adaptive control: non-explosion, ε-consistency and stability

For completely observed continuous time constant parameter stochastic linear systems, an indirect adaptive control law is presented which, subject principally to a weak location hypothesis concerning the true parameter, and a persistent excitation hypothesis, generates ε-consistent recursive least squares parameter estimates and ensures the system is mean square sample path stable. The adaptive control algorith mentails (i) recursively calculating the least squares estimate of the system parameter, and (ii) recursively generating the LQR feedback gain matrix lying in a set of matrix gains γ known to contain a stabilizing gain. The a.s. non-explosion of the system is a direct consequence of this construction.     

伊朗德黑兰地铁轨道施工方法

依托伊朗德黑兰地铁一、二号线工程 ,针对地铁单洞单线采用的轨道施工轨排法存在的不足 ,根据单洞双线隧道的特点 ,提出了利用组装好的轨排直接铺设在隧道结构底板上作为轨道平板车临时轨道的施工新方法     

壳牌煤气化工艺在荷兰德姆科列克IGCC工厂的应用

介绍采用壳牌煤气化工艺的荷兰德姆科列克250MW整体煤气化烧气－－蒸汽联合循环发电厂的建厂过程及运行经验。阐述了IGCC能量平衡原理、SCGP系统流程和运行操作指标，对壳牌煤气化装置的优良性能和发展前景进行了总结和展望。     

先张法预应力桥梁板施工工艺及应用实例

结合太原市向阳店桥梁板施工实例，介绍了采用先张法进行预应力桥梁板施工的过程。阐述了桥梁板的施工工艺，该工艺实现了整体张拉、整体放张，使钢绞线逐根受力均匀，施工速度快，能保证梁端的质量。指出拉杆系统的使用，降低了成本，增加了效益。     

A robust adaptive pole‐placement controller without strictly positive real condition

This paper considers the adaptive pole‐placement control problem for system (1) with unmodelled dynamics η_n dominated by a small constant ε multiplied by a quantity independent of ε but tending to infinity as the past input, output, and noise grow. Using bounded external excitation and randomly varying truncation techniques, we give a design method of adaptive pole‐placement controller. It is shown that the closed‐loop system is globally stable, the estimation error for the parameter contained in the modelled part is of order ε, and the closed‐loop system under the adaptive pole‐placement control law is suboptimal in the sense of $$\mathop{\lim\sup}\limits_{{n\to\infty }}{1\over n}\mathop{\sum}\limits_{i=0}^n{\left({A^{*}(z)y_{n}‐L(z)C(z)w_{n}‐B(z)R(z)y_{n}^{*}}\right)^{2}{\leq}O({\varepsilon}^{2})+\gamma^{2}\mathop{\sum}\limits_{j=1}^q{b_{j}^{2}}}$$\nopagenumbers\end while the SPR condition used usually in other papers is replaced by a stability condition. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

MODELING OF WATER DYNAMICS AND POLLUTANT SPREADING IN THE LUOMAHU RESERVOIR FOR WATER TRANSFER FORM SOUTH TO NORTH OF CHINA

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