The Effect of the Estimation on Goodness‐of‐Fit Tests in Time Series Models

Abstract. We analyze, by simulation, the finite‐sample properties of goodness‐of‐fit tests based on residual autocorrelation coefficients (simple and partial) obtained using different estimators frequently used in the analysis of autoregressive moving‐average time‐series models. The estimators considered are unconditional least squares, maximum likelihood and conditional least squares. The results suggest that although the tests based on these estimators are asymptotically equivalent for particular models and parameter values, their sampling properties for samples of the size commonly found in economic applications can differ substantially, because of differences in both finite‐sample estimation efficiencies and residual regeneration methods.     

浅议铵梯炸药质量检验中的三个问题

文章探讨了GB 12437-2000标准规定的产品检验项目中,中包浸水试验的科学性问题和对批产品进行抽样时的样本代表性问题以及使用多段爆速仪测试爆速时应注意的样本量问题.     

提高小样试织质量的措施

介绍了纺织品小样试织时，为了提高试织质量在经纬纱准备及织造工序时所采取的一些措施。     

数字电视的标准符合性检测

介绍了我国数字电视标准化总体情况，重点介绍接收端的标准化工作现状及数字电视的标准符合性检测情况。     

棉织物手感值的模糊综合评判研究

利用模糊综合评判数学模型对棉织物的手感值进行了计算与分析，这种方法简单、可靠，与主观评估结果有很好的一致性，为纺织生产的质量判断提供了便利。     

Identification of the minimum effective dose for right-censored survival data

In this paper, we consider identifying the minimum effective dose (MED) in a dose-response study when survival data are subject to random right-censorship, where the MED is defined to be the smallest dose level under study that has survival advantage over the zero-dose control. To this end, we suggest single-step-down testing procedures based on three different types of weighted logrank statistics, respectively. The comparative results of a Monte Carlo error rate and power/bias study for a variety of survival and censoring distributions are then presented and discussed. The application of the testing procedures for identifying the MED is finally illustrated by using a numerical example of prostate cancer data.     

Relationships between urbanization and the oak resource of the Minneapolis/St. Paul Metropolitan area from 1991 to 1998

Urbanization was associated with loss and transformation of the oak forest in the Twin Cities (Minneapolis and St. Paul) metropolitan area (TCMA) over a recent 7-year interval. Between 1991 and 1998, urbanization increased based on several indicators: population density, area of developed land, and area of impervious surface—total impervious area and area within three classes of increasing degree of imperviousness (protected, affected, and degraded). We quantified relationships between changes in urbanization and changes in several parameters describing the oak forest at the scale of ecological subsection. Increased total and affected impervious area were strongly correlated with decreased area of oak forest when changes of the urbanization indicators and oak were expressed as percentages of the subsection area. Relationships were reversed when changes were expressed as percentages of the 1991 values. Increased population density was strongly correlated with increased loss in numbers and increased isolation of oak patches, but weakly correlated with loss of oak forest area. This is the first study to quantify relationships between changes in urbanization and changes in a specific forest cover type. Our results demonstrate complexities of urbanization impacts on a metropolitan forest resource, and highlight the importance of selected variables, spatial and temporal scales, and expressions of change when quantifying these relationships.     

俄罗斯减速器涡轮钻具驱动PDC钻头在西西伯利亚油田的成功应用

涡轮钻具由前苏联研制出来以后，得到了迅速发展，目前已发展到减速器涡轮钻具阶段。现在，俄罗斯西西伯利亚地区普遍使用减速器涡轮钻具钻井，而减速器涡轮钻具驱动PDC钻头的使用还是空白。采用俄罗斯生产的几种不同型号的减速器涡轮钻具，在西西伯利亚进行了驱动PDC钻头钻井的阶段性试验。试验结果表明，在优选PDC钻头结构的情况下，用减速器涡轮钻具驱动PDC钻头，钻头进尺和机械钻速都较牙轮钻头有显著的提高，经济和社会效益显著。介绍了试验中使用的3种俄罗斯减速器涡轮钻具(TPM-195，TPⅢ-195和TPO3—195)的结构特点和主要技术参数。     

SPW中自定义模块的创建与测试

SPW是一个先进的通信系统建模、仿真工具，它具有丰富的通信仿真模块和非常灵活的创建自定义模块功能。通过创建一个简单的自定义模块并对其进行功能测试，介绍了在SPW中创建及测试用户自定义模块的方法。这一实例表明，在SPW中可以将现成的模块与用户自定义模块有机结合在一起，从而大大提高了工程人员的工作效率，同时又扩展了SPW的应用领域。     

山西沁南煤层气井试气工艺分析

对山西沁南地区三口煤层气井试气施工工艺进行总结分析，改进了注入压降测试管柱，采用电潜泵法对煤层排采测气。对今后煤层气井的施工具有一定的指导意义。