The impacts of a GTL plant on Brazil's oil products supply and refinery expansion

This paper assesses the impacts of a GTL plant on the expansion of Brazil's oil refining segment. The GTL plant (50,000 bpd) was sized to start up operations in 2015, producing diesel and naphtha through the indirect route (FT-synthesis). This plant will consume the non-associated natural gas production from the recent discoveries at the Santos Basin (around 419 Bm³), and the associated gas production from the Campos Basin. Both basins are located in the Southeast of Brazil, the most populated, rich and industrialized region of the country. Two different criteria for refinery expansion were simulated in order to meet oil product demand scenarios. Findings show that depending on the refinery expansion criteria considered GTL will play a fundamental hole to meet the oil product demand forecast to Brazil in the next 10 years.     

煤炭企业管理的激励方式及运用

本文介绍了煤炭企业管理的激励方式以及激励机制的具体运用。     

努力建设让人民满意的服务型政府

十八届三中全会召开后,我国构建服务型政府的伟大战略进入了一个新的发展阶段。本课题联系当前服务型政府建设实际,进而提出相应的对策思路。     

Is compulsive internet use related to sensitivity to reward and punishment,and impulsivity?

Aim of the present study was to examine whether the personality correlates sensitivity to reward and to punishment, and impulsivity predict compulsive internet use (CIU). Furthermore, the predictive value of these personality correlates was compared to the predictive value of factors relating to psychosocial wellbeing. The results showed that particularly rash spontaneous impulsivity predicts CIU and that this personality factor is more important than psychosocial wellbeing factors. Sensitivity to reward, which is supposed to play a role in craving processes associated with substance abuse and eating disorders, could not be related to CIU. The data suggest that internet users who are characterized by an impulsive personality feature, are less able to control their use of the internet, which makes them more vulnerable to develop CIU.     

Behavioral Analysis of E-commerce Acceptance in Micro-enterprises简

E-commerce present opportunities and challenges for businesses, especially for micro-enterprises. This paper proposed a theoretical framework that in line with the unique characteristics of E-commerce acceptance in micro-enterprises in Chengdu, which is based on the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology （UTAUT） model. The extending UTAUT model includes key constructs of performance expectation, perceived behavioral control and the characteristics of owner-managers.     

Conservative and aggressive rough SVR modeling

Support vector regression provides an alternative to the neural networks in modeling non-linear real-world patterns. Rough values, with a lower and upper bound, are needed whenever the variables under consideration cannot be represented by a single value. This paper describes two approaches for the modeling of rough values with support vector regression (SVR). One approach, by attempting to ensure that the predicted high value is not greater than the upper bound and that the predicted low value is not less than the lower bound, is conservative in nature. On the contrary, we also propose an aggressive approach seeking a predicted high which is not less than the upper bound and a predicted low which is not greater than the lower bound. The proposal is shown to use ?-insensitivity to provide a more flexible version of lower and upper possibilistic regression models. The usefulness of our work is realized by modeling the rough pattern of a stock market index, and can be taken advantage of by conservative and aggressive traders.     

对中央部门机关政府采购开展绩效评价的几点思考

中央部门机关政府采购绩效评价,应该以党和国家关于缋效管理和政府采购的一系列重要文件为指导,针对政府采购工作全过程,以绩效目标为牵引,以绩效指标和评价标准为重点,以完善的评价组织方法为推动力,贴近实际、注重实效,按照事前、事中、事后三个阶段,客观评定中央部门机关政府采购工作投入产出比,以及工作的效益和效率情况,为政府采购工作的开展提供借鉴.     

时空结构视野下旅游客源市场定量初探——以浙江嘉兴乌镇为例

在客源时间分布上,计算乌镇游客游览时间强度指数,得到游客游览时间主要集中在二、三季度,并以7、8月份为最高峰。而在客源市场的分布上,鸟镇已经形成了以浙江为核心,上海、北京等地为一级,安徽、河南等地为二级的国内客源市场。在长三角古村落旅游发展迅速的今天,乌镇与周边的周庄、同里等古镇的竞争日益激烈,而旅游产品的创新、加大宣传迅速占领国内二级客源市场等措施将有助于乌镇在竞争中脱颖而出,占领主导地位。     

国债市场的流动性套利及其实证检验

提出了一种在保持一定流动性风险的情况下构建国债套利组合的方法,应用线性规划技术,将国债的持有期风险因素引入到约束条件中,进而求解出实现最大期初套利的国债投资组合。通过对我国上交所25种债券的实证检验,发现套利收益与组合的持有期风险成正比,与流动性指标成反比,这证明了在考虑债券流动性风险的情况下,进行债券套利操作不一定会带来可观的收益。