带去边机制的增长小世界网络的度分布

为了研究复杂网络的发展,学者们提出了许多模型和分析方法,提出了计算演化网络度分布的马氏链方法.本文将主方程方法和马氏链首达概率方法应用于一个去边机制与时间相关的小世界网络模型,得到这个模型度分布的精确表达式,并严格证明了度分布的存在性,说明马氏链首达概率法同样适用于小世界网络.     

Three vertex degree correlations of fixed act-size collaboration networks

A rate equation approach was presented for the exact computation of the three vertex degree correlations of the fixed act-size collaboration networks.Measurements of the three vertex degree correlations were based on a rate equation in the continuous degree and time approximation for the average degree of the nearest neighbors of vertices of degree k,with an appropriate boundary condition.The rate equation proposed can be generalized in more sophisticated growing network models,and also extended to deal wit...     

加权支持向量回归算法

Support vector regression machines based on structural risk minimization have a good generalization performance. However, its effect is not good if there exists heterogeneity of variance in the regression models. In order to solve the problem, a kind of weighting support vector regression is proposed in this paper. The results of simulation experiments show the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.     

A new analytical algorithm for computing probability distribution of project completion time

An analytical algorithm was presented for the exact computation of the probability distribution of the project completion time in stochastic networks, where the activity durations are mutually independent and continuously distributed random variables. Firstly, stochastic activity networks were modeled as continuous-time Markov process with a single absorbing state by the well-know method of supplementary variables and the time changed from the initial state to absorbing state is equal to the project completion time. Then, the Markov process was regarded as a special case of Markov skeleton process. By taking advantage of the backward equations of Markov skeleton processes, a backward algorithm was proposed to compute the probability distribution of the project completion time. Finally, a numerical example was solved to demonstrate the performance of the proposed methodology. The results show that the proposed algorithm is capable of computing the exact distribution function of the project completion time, and the expectation and variance are obtained.     

半马尔可夫过程在GI/M/1和M/G/1排队系统中的应用

本文运用齐次可列半马尔可夫过程的向后方程和向前方程,分别研究了GI/M/1和M/G/1排队系统队长的瞬时分布.首先得到了GI/M/1队长的转移概率的拉普拉斯变换满足的向后方程组,然后得到了M/G/1队长的转移概率的拉普拉斯变换满足的向前方程组,所得方程组的系数矩阵都是拟下三角矩阵,都可以通过迭代法进行求解.     

产品族零部件关系网络的稳定性研究

本文研究复杂网络在制造领域中关于产品族零部件关系的应用分析。在已有产品族零部件关系模型的基础上,我们提出了一类改进的网络模型。利用马氏链理论中首达概率技巧,严格证明了该网络中结点入度稳态分布的存在性,并得出了度分布的具体表达式。通过对产品族零部件关系网络的研究,以系统地了解制造系统的内在机理,为企业的生产提供科学依据。     

基于SVR的混沌时间序列预测

支持向量机是一种基于统计学习理论的新颖的机器学习方法,由于其出色的学习性能,该技术已成为当前国际机器学习界的研究热点。这种方法已广泛用于解决分类和回归问题。论文介绍了支持向量回归算法的各种版本,同时将它们应用到混沌时间序列预测中,并且比较了它们的预测性能,为实际应用合理选择模型提供一定的依据。     

一类马氏调制风险模型的破产概率

本文研究一类马氏调制风险模型的破产概率,在此模型中索赔到达间隔和索赔额都受一外在马氏过程的影响,保费收入则受该外在的马氏过程和公司的储备金水平的影响.本文不仅考虑了随机环境对保险公司的影响,而且考虑了保险公司为了吸引新的顾客,会根据储备金的水平来调整保费收入.因此所考虑的保险模型更加贴近现实,更加易于应用.通过向后微分讨论,根据外在过程的马氏性,严格推导出破产概率所满足的积分方程.进一步,通过拉普拉斯变换的方法,给出了积分方程的解.最后,给出一个例子来展示所得结果的可行性和有效性.