Assessment model of dam operation risk based on monitoring data

Although the dams produce remarkable social and economic benefits, the threat made by unsafe dams to the life and property of people who live in the lower river area is un-negligible. Based on the monitoring data which reflect the safety condition of dams, the risk degree concept is proposed and the analysis system and model for evaluating risk degree (rate) are established in this paper by combining the reliability theory and field monitoring data. The analysis method for risk degree is presented based on Bayesian approach. A five-grade risk degree system for dam operation risk and corresponding risk degree is put forward according to the safety condition of dams. The operation risks of four cascade dams on some river are analyzed by the model and approach presented here and the result is adopted by the owner.     

Game model of safety monitoring for arch dam deformation

Arch dam deformation is comprehensively affected by water pressure, temperature, dam’s structural behavior and material properties as well as other factors. Among them the water pressure and temperature are external factors (source factors) that cause dam deformation, and dam’s structural behavior and material properties are the internal factors of deformation (resistance factors). The dam deformation is the result of the mutual game playing between source factors and resistance factors. Therefore, resistance factors of structure and materials that reflect resistance character of arch dam structure are introduced into the traditional model, where structure factor is embodied by the flexibility coefficient of dam body and the maximum dam height, and material property is embodied by the elastic modulus of dam. On the basis of analyzing the correlation between dam deformation and resistance factors, the game model of safety monitoring for arch dam deformation is put forward.

     

Commentary of research situation and innovation frontier in hydro-structure engineering science

In order to utilize water and hydropower resources in China,multitudes of water projects are established or to be constructed as an integral part of the national economy's infrastructure.Under these circumstances,there are two outstanding problems:1) a mass of existing dams are in danger and 2) in the southwest water-conservancy construction plan,dozens of existing or planned dams are high dams or even super high dams with heights between 200 and 300 m.In accordance with demands of the National Program for ...     

Risk analysis model for landslide mass of high slope in dam area

In order to identify the threat of reservoir bank landslide to dam safety and reduce the risk of dam failure, impact factors of the landslide are analyzed. The concept of landslide risk degree is put forward to measure the threat of landslide to dam safety. The monotony of the landslide risk assessment function which changes with different affecting factors is analyzed qualitatively. Based on gene automatic programming, a data mining model of the landslide risk assessment function is constructed combined with impact factors of reservoir bank landslide on dam safety. And the assessment function of landslide risk has been excavated and established according to practical project information, which provides a valuable reference for analyzing the impact of landslide on dam risk.     

Crack status analysis for concrete dams based on measured entropy

The integrity and safety of concrete dams are seriously affected by the existing cracks in dam bodies, and some serious cracks may cause dam failure or disaster. The propagation of cracks in concrete dams is accompanied by changes in energy distribution, which can be represented by changes in the structure’s system entropy. Therefore, the entropy theory can be used in analyzing the behavior of dam cracks. Due to the randomness and locality of crack propagation, it is difficult to predict the location of cracks by traditional monitoring methods. To solve this problem, the influence of spatial positions of monitoring points on inspection zones is represented by a weight index, and the weight index is determined by the distance measure method proposed in this paper. Through the weighted linear fusion method, the entropy of multiple monitoring points is obtained for analyzing the behavior of dam cracks in the selected zones. Meanwhile, the catastrophe theory is used as the variation criterion of an entropy sequence in order to predict the instability time of dam cracks. Case studies are put forward on a high arch dam, and the fusion entropy is calculated according to the monitoring data from strain gauges. Results show that the proposed method can effectively predict the occurrence time and location of dam cracks regardless of the layout of monitoring instruments, and it is a new way to analyze the occurrence and propagation of dam cracks.     

Dam risk assistant analysis system design

In order to reduce the labor intensity and task difficulty of dam risk analysis and to meet the actual requirement of dam risk analysis, it is necessary to establish a dam risk assistant analysis system. The program structure and the implementation ways of the dam risk assistant analysis system are analyzed, and a procedural framework with “three-tier and multi-database” structure and “level structure” is established. The concept of dam risk assessment system modular development is proposed and the coupled mode of function module and data is improved. Finally, the dam risk assistant analysis system is developed using Delphi visual programming language.

     

Risk assessment method of major unsafe hydroelectric project

Based on the characteristics of major unsafe hydroelectric projects and the data from field detection, in situ monitoring, and regular safety inspection, the fundamental principles of operation risk assessment are proposed in this paper. Meanwhile, a three layer hierarchical system is constructed, and an improved analytical hierarchical process combining genetic algorithm and analytical hierarchical process is established, with corresponding program. The operation risk of some unsafe dam was assessed with the principles, method and program presented in this paper and the major factors which would affect the operation of the dam were pointed out. Supported by Key Project of NNSF and Yalongjiang Hydroelectric Development Joint Research Fund (Grant No. 50539110), Science and Technology Support Plan (Grant No. 20006BAC14B03), National Natural Science Foundation Major Project (Grant Nos. 50539010, 50539030) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50579010)     

Game model of safety monitoring for arch dam deformation

Arch dam deformation is comprehensively affected by water pressure,temperature,dam's structural behavior and material properties as well as other factors.Among them the water pressure and temperature are external factors(source factors) that cause dam deformation,and dam's structural behavior and material properties are the internal factors of deformation(resistance factors).The dam deformation is the result of the mutual game playing between source factors and resistance factors.Therefore,resistance factor...     

Establishing time-dependent model of deformation modulus caused by bedrock excavation rebound by inverse analysis method

Rock rebound relaxation deformation,or even rock burst,caused by the excavation of dam base and abutment or high rock slope affects their stability and results in the fall of mechanical properties of the rock.So an inverse analysis method was proposed in this paper to establish the time-dependent model of deformation modulus caused by excavation rebound.The basic principle is based on the combination of observed data of the excavation rebound deformation of dam abutment or rock slope,and the calculated rebo...     

Game model of safety monitoring for arch dam deformation

Arch dam deformation is comprehensively affected by water pressure, temperature, dam’s structural behavior and material properties as well as other factors. Among them the water pressure and temperature are external factors (source factors) that cause dam deformation, and dam’s structural behavior and material properties are the internal factors of deformation (resistance factors). The dam deformation is the result of the mutual game playing between source factors and resistance factors. Therefore, resistance factors of structure and materials that reflect resistance character of arch dam structure are introduced into the traditional model, where structure factor is embodied by the flexibility coefficient of dam body and the maximum dam height, and material property is embodied by the elastic modulus of dam. On the basis of analyzing the correlation between dam deformation and resistance factors, the game model of safety monitoring for arch dam deformation is put forward.