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One baseline forestry scenario and four other scenarios were developed for the period 2000–2040. Each scenario includes all forested areas but provides separate analyses of thirty “forestry eco-regions.” Three types of forest management are included in the scenarios: clear-cut logging and reforestation, selective logging and thinning, and measures to prevent and manage fires.
The baseline scenario results in a constant net sink of about 150 MtC/yr. Increasing clear-cut logging using current forestry practices will cause a rapid drop in the net sink. A modest increase in clear-cut logging together with active forest fire and selective logging measures could lead to a slight increase in the net sink.
Based on these scenarios, regional forestry priorities are identified for Russia's Climate Change Action Plan. The priorities by region include: (i) creating economic mechanisms to increase forestry effectiveness in the logging areas now being cut, (ii) providing assistance for natural reforestation for the European-Ural region, (iii) promoting a forest fire protection system for Central and Northeast Siberia, and (iv) limiting clear-cut logging and creating a market for forestry efficiency in South Siberia and Primorie and Priamurie. 相似文献