水文序列相依变异识别的RIC定阶准则——以自回归模型为例

水文过程相依性是水文变异的主要表现形式之一,应用自回归模型对其进行拟合时合理确定模型阶数是一个难点问题。本文在分析AIC和BIC准则的基础上,提出了一种以原序列与其相依成分的相关系数作为拟合度指标,同时借用信息熵形式的函数式,作为模型不确定性度量指标的自回归模型定阶准则(简称RIC准则)。以AR(1)、AR(2)、AR(3)和AR(4)模型为例进行统计试验,将不同序列长度下该准则的定阶准确率与其他定阶准则进行比较,试验结果表明,RIC准则对于上述模型均具有较好的适应性,且定阶准确率远高于AIC准则,其中对于前三阶模型RIC准则优于BIC准则,但四阶模型略低于BIC准则。RIC准则的优势是可以同时满足模型定阶、相依程度分级与模型检验的需求,将其应用于实测水文序列分析,结果显示,该准则能较准确地识别自回归模型的阶数,且符合提出的"相依有变异而残差无变异的最小阶数"的检验标准。     

结构形式对椭圆扁管管内传热与流阻性能影响

利用数值模拟方法结合场协同理论,对直椭圆扁管、单向螺旋椭圆扁管和变向螺旋椭圆扁管管内传热与流动情况进行了数值模拟计算和理论分析,比较研究了不同的Re、Pr下,3种椭圆扁管的管内传热与流阻特性。结果表明,单向螺旋椭圆扁管和变向螺旋椭圆扁管与直椭圆扁管相比有很好的强化传热性能,而变向螺旋椭圆扁管要比单向螺旋椭圆扁管的强化传热性能更好。在管内流体具有高Pr及低Re的条件下,2种螺旋椭圆扁管的强化传热效果显著,可作为很好的强化传热元件应用于工程实际中。     

PCI接口芯片s5935及其应用

s5935是AMCC公司生产的PCI接口芯片 ,可实现直通 (PASS-THRU)、邮箱 (MAILBOX)、FI FO/DMA三种工作方式。文章简要介绍了这三种工作方式 ,并给出了s5935的WDM驱动编程。     

Viscoelastic response of solid rocket motor components for service life assessment

A methodology for determining the response of rocket motor materials and bondlines to thermal loadings by measuring their dynamic mechanical properties is reported. The critical temperatures at which debonding and/or propellant cracking occur and the number of thermal cycles required to induce failure were evaluated. These results were compared with those from instrumented rocket motors subjected to similar thermal loadings. A model, developed for fibre reinforced composites, was applied to the propellant-inhibitor bimaterial obtained from a rocket motor. The internal energy dissipation due to a lack of perfect adhesion at the propellant–inhibitor interface, tan δ_adh, was used to give an indication of the failure mode of the bondline (i.e., adhesive failure at the interface or cohesive failure in the propellant) and the bond adhesion parameter, C, was related to the bond strength measured by rectangular bond-in-tension tests. This revised version was published online in November 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Nb,Ti微合金钢热变形的动态模拟变形抗力模型

本文报道 Nb,Ti 微合金钢的热变形动态模拟变形抗力模型。在试验中用热加工模拟试验机进行高温压缩试验,其变形温度为1123—1423K,变形速率为0.1—60s~(-1)。结果表明,在峰值以前该钢种的流变应力数学模型为:σ=5.99.ε~(0.167)·(?)~(6.47×10~(-5)·T)·exp(4064/T)。形变激活能(Q)为444 kJ/mol,β系数为0.080。峰值应力(σ_p),临界应变(ε_c)和温度补偿应变速率参数(Z)之间的关系分别为:σ_p=12.56·lnZ-391.8;lnε_c=0.157·lnZ-7.39。     

Has risk associated with smoking increased? Results from the Copenhagen Center for Prospective Population Studies

BACKGROUND: Two recent much cited publications have raised the concern that risk associated with cigarette smoking has so far been underestimated. In this study we wish to determine whether excess all-cause mortality associated with smoking has increased during the last 20-30 years in a study population representative of the general Danish population and whether any such changes relate to changes in smoking behaviour. METHODS: Pooled data from three prospective population studies conducted in Copenhagen with detailed information on smoking habits. A total of 31,194 subjects, 17,669 males and 13,525 females, initially examined between 1964 and 1992 with examinations repeated at intervals from 1-10 years, were followed until 1995 for all-cause mortality. Relative mortality risk in smokers versus never-smokers was calculated within periods of five calendar years and compared throughout the study period. RESULTS: Male smokers' exposure did not change during the study period whereas female smokers' exposure to tobacco increased in terms of age at smoking onset, quantity smoked and depth of inhalation. During follow-up 5744 males and 2900 females died. In males, death rate ratios (comparing continuous smokers with never-smokers) did not change in the study period. In females, ratios increased from 1964-1978 to 1979-1994 by a factor of 1.3 (95% confidence interval 1.0-1.8). CONCLUSIONS: In agreement with the observed changes in smoking habits, excess mortality in male smokers did not increase whereas excess mortality in female smokers increased slightly.     

A SURVEY OF ARYLAMINE N-ACETYLTRANSFERASE ACTIVITY IN COMMON FRUITS AND VEGETABLES

The N-acetyltransferase activity was determined in 58 common fruits and vegetables. The assay was based on acetylation of 2-aminofluorene or p-amino-benzoic acid, followed by high pressure liquid chromatographic analysis of products and remaining nonacetylated substrate. The highest specific activities were observed in Balsam pear which contained 17.37 ± 1.45 N-acetyl aminofluorene nmole/min/mg protein and 46.27 ± 6.87 N-acetyl p-aminobenzoic acid nmole/min/mg protein. N-acetyltransferase activities within the remaining 57 foodstuffs analyzed ranged from none detected to 3.39 ± 0.72 N-acetyl aminofluorene nmole/min/mg protein and none detected to 32.45 ± 6.55 N-acetyl p-aminobenzoic acid nmole/min/mg protein. This is the first demonstration of acetyl CoA: arylamine N-acetyltransferase activity in common foodstuffs.     

Three Methods for Determining Nonheme Iron in Turkey Meat

The ferrozine, the Schricker and modified Schricker methods were used to measure the non-heme iron in raw and cooked turkey meat. The ferrozine method gave the lowest non-heme iron values, while results from the Schricker and modified Schricker were not different (p<0.05). When hemoglobin (Hb) was added to breast meat, how-ever, differences (p<0.05) between the Schricker and modified Schricker, and Schricker and ferrozine methods were observed in cooked meat with NaCl. Cooking and addition of NaCl caused increase in measured nonheme iron content and had a synergistic effect on the release of nonheme iron in meat.