Perfect Bayesian vs. Imperfect Bayesian in Small Decision Making Problems

This is an experimental economics research on human behaviour in “small decision making”. I set up ambiguity treatments in which there are two states of nature: a favourable state and an unfavourable state, but only one of them obtains on any given trial. The decision makers’ basic task is a binary choice between a risky option with higher expected value and a riskless option with lower expected value. The one-person game is iterated hundreds of times. Experimental results are reported with several findings, such as underweighting of rare events and deviations from expected value maximisation. Finally, I investigate the imperfect Bayesian decision makers observed in the experiments by exploring to what extent they can update prior probabilities and reflect it in making decisions.

     

Case report of miliary TB, with mediastinal TB involving the aorta, trachea and esophagus with death due to hemorrhage from perforation of aorta into the esophagus during treatment

A 32-year-old male was diagnosed as having miliary tuberculosis in May 1990. In spite of antituberculosis chemotherapy, he developed tuberculous meningitis and intracranial tuberculoma in September 1990. Miliary shadows on chest X-ray disappeared in December 1990. However, he developed left atelectasis, and bronchofiberscopy revealed soft tumor in the left main bronchus in January 1991. He suddenly vomited large amounts of blood and expired in February 1991. At autopsy, tuberculous lymphadenitis and cavitation were noted in the mediastinum, through which the left main bronchus, esophagus and descending aorta communicated. The patient died of massive bleeding which resulted from the rupture of tuberculous aortitis into the esophagus. This is a very rare case of tuberculous aortic aneurysm rupturing into both the bronchus and esophagus.     

In Situ Observation of Zirconia Particles at 1200°C by High-Resolution Electron Microscopy

Zirconia (ZrO₂) particles (average diameter, 30 nm) were observed in an in situ heating experiment up to 1200°C using a 400-kV high-resolution electron microscope. Thermal vibration of atoms on a (001) surface plane was observed at 1100°C. At 1200°C, grain growth and sintering phenomena were recorded on a videotape, showing (100) lattice planes migrating on a surface of a particle. Direct observation of the sintering process on a lattice level was accomplished for the first time.     

Development of probe-to-probe approach method for an independently controlled dual-probe scanning tunneling microscope

We developed a method of fast probe-to-probe approach for an independently controlled dual-probe scanning tunneling microscope (STM), which is essential to measure the transport property of nanostructures, without scanning electron microscopy (SEM). In the approach method, inchworm motors are used as the coarse positioning devices, which are controlled with a personal computer. The method enables an automatic approach of the probe to the other probe within a short time (typically 30 min). After the approach, a real distance between contact points of each probe tip to a sample can be measured from the overlapped part of the STM images obtained with individual probe. The approach method without SEM is also useful to measure the charge transport in the atmosphere, which will be essential for measurement of the bio molecules.     

Internal-external transition for the oxidation of Fe-Cr-Ni austenitic stainless steels in steam

Several Fe-Cr-Ni austenitic stainless steels (Cr wt.%: 13–25, Ni wt.%: 15) were oxidized in steam for 1000 hr at 500–900°C. The oxide scales were examined and categorized with respect to the chromium concentration and the grain size of the base metal. Experiments showed three conditions for the critical bulk Cr concentration and the oxidation temperature at which the oxidation behavior changed drastically. Metallographic examination showed that two of these three conditions resulted from the internal-external transition of Cr₂O₃ either on the metal surface or along the grain boundaries of the base metal. Attempts were made to interpret these conditions from the available oxidation theories. Atkinson's treatment was employed with some modification to incorporate the grain-boundary diffusion of Cr in the base metal. The calculation basically explained the internal-external transition for the oxidation of these steels.     

Negative staining--carbon replica method, a new procedure to reveal ultrastructure of freeze-fractured membrane.

The present study was undertaken to report a new method which reveals the ultrastructure of freeze-fractured membrane faces. The method consists of initial replication of fractured surfaces of frozen specimens with evaporated carbon and treatment of the replicas with a negative staining solution after dissolution of specimens. This negative staining-carbon replica method reveals clear distribution, ultrastructures and precise size of intramembrane particles on the fractured membrane faces by means of density difference of negative staining solution which is deposited on the surfaces of carbon replicas.     

Cyclic deformation behavior and dislocation structure of Ti-2 at. Pct Al single crystals oriented for double prism slip

Cyclic deformation behavior and dislocation substructure in the single crystals of Ti-Al alloy containing 2.0 pct Al (by atom) with double prism slip at different cyclic strain amplitudes were examined. The testing results showed that Ti-2Al displayed an initial slight cyclic hardening followed by a striking softening period, and a saturation stage was reached finally. Secondary cyclic hardening was observed for most specimens before failure, specifically at the high cyclic strain amplitudes. The cyclic resolved shear stress-strain curve (CSSC) was observed to contain a plateau in the testing strain range with a saturation plateau stress of about 55 MPa. Trace analysis on the surface of specimens with an optical microscope shows that the (10 0) and (1 00) double prism slips can be distinguished from the traces on the (0001) surface of the fatigued specimens. The dislocation substructure in the fatigued specimens was examined using a transmission electron microscope (TEM). The typical dislocation configuration is the saturated dislocation bundles, which are tangled on the (10 0) and (1 00) slip planes and arranged parallel to the [0001] direction.     

Efficient High-Pulse-Energy Green-Beam Generation by Intracavity Frequency Doubling of a Quasi-Continuous-Wave Laser-Diode-Pumped Nd:YAG Laser

A 50-mJ green beam was generated at a 1-kHz repetition rate by intracavity frequency doubling of a quasi-cw laser-diode-pumped Nd:YAG laser. The green laser was used for 12-mJ fourth-harmonic beam generation with a CsLiB(6)O(10) crystal.     

A time integration method for analysis of dynamic systems using domain decomposition technique

This paper presents a precise and stable time integration method for dynamic analysis of vibration or multibody systems A total system is divided into several subsystems and then responses are calculated separately, while the coupling effect is treated equivalently as constant force during time steps By using iterative procedure to improve equivalent coupling forces, a precise and stable solution is obtained Some examples such as a seismic response and multibody analyses were carried out to demonstrate its usefulness