Uncertainty Matters: Computer Models at the Science–Policy Interface

The use of computer models offers a general and flexible framework that can help to deal with some of the complexities and difficulties associated with the development of water management plans as prescribed by the Water Framework Directive. However, despite the advantages modelling presents, the integration of information derived from models into policy is far away from being trivial or the norm. Part of the difficulties of this integration is rooted in the lack of confidence policy makers have on the incorporation of modelling information into policy formulation. In this paper we examine the reasons for this apparent lack of confidence and explore how some tools, presently in use, address this problem. We conclude that public confidence in models is highly dependent on the way uncertainties are addressed and suggest possible directions of action to improve the current situation. Four real case studies illustrate how computer models have been used in The Netherlands for carrying out management plans at regional and national scale. We suggest that the solution to integrate modelling information into policy formulation lies on both the modelling and the policy-making communities.     

Understanding source effects in ADHD rating scales: Reply to DuPaul (2003).

G. J. DuPaul (see record 2003-02033-012) offered two suggestions for additional research to understand the strong source effects reported by R. Gomez, G. L Burns, J. A. Walsh, and M. A. de Moura (see record 2003-02033-001) in attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) rating scales. The first suggestion was to determine whether the source effects represent mostly bias or accuracy. The second suggestion was to minimize source effects through the development of better ADHD rating scales. Because source effects can represent bias or accuracy, it is important to minimize the bias aspect through content validation procedures prior to attempts to determine whether source effects better reflect bias or accuracy. This comment offers various suggestions to reduce the bias in ADHD rating scales. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Off-line optimization and control for real time integration of a three-phase hydrogenation catalytic reactor

In order to develop and test the integration procedure, in this paper a real time process integration involving the optimization and control of the process is presented, in this case, with the two-layer approach. The used optimization algorithms were Levenberg–Marquardt and SQP that solve a non-linear least square problem subject to bounds on the variables. The two-layer approach is a hierarchical control structure where an optimization layer calculates the set points and manipulated variables to the advanced controller, which is based on the dynamic matrix control with constraints (QDMC). The non-isothermal dynamic model of the three-phase slurry catalytic reactor with appropriate solution procedure was utilized in this work (Vasco de Toledo, E. C., Santana, P. L., Maciel, M. R. W., & Maciel Filho, R. (2001). Dynamic modeling of a three-phase catalytic slurry reactor. Chemical Engineering Science, 56, 6055–6061). The model consists on mass and heat balance equations for the catalyst particles as well as for the bulk phases of gas and liquid. The model was used to describe the dynamic behavior of hydrogenation reaction of o-cresol to obtain 2-methil-cyclohexanol, in the presence of a catalyst Ni/SiO₂.     

Empirical validation of referential integrity metrics

Databases are the core of Information Systems (IS). It is, therefore, necessary to ensure the quality of the databases in order to ensure the quality of the IS. Metrics are useful mechanisms for controlling database quality. This paper presents two metrics related to referential integrity, number of foreign keys (NFK) and depth of the referential tree (DRT) for controlling the quality of a relational database. However, to ascertain the practical utility of the metrics, experimental validation is necessary. This validation can be carried out through controlled experiments or through case studies. The controlled experiments must also be replicated in order to obtain firm conclusions. With this objective in mind, we have undertaken different empirical work with metrics for relational databases. As a part of this empirical work, we have conducted a case study with some metrics for relational databases and a controlled experiment with two metrics presented in this paper. The detailed experiment described in this paper is a replication of the later one. The experiment was replicated in order to confirm the results obtained from the first experiment.

As a result of all the experimental works, we can conclude that the NFK metric is a good indicator of relational database complexity. However, we cannot draw such firm conclusions regarding the DRT metric.     

Biodegradation of lipids from olive oil mill wastewaters in a stationary basket bioreactor with immobilized Bacillus spp. cells - influence of internal diffusion

The study is focused on the external and internal mass transfers of lipids during their biodegradation process in a bioreactor with stationary basket bed of immobilized Bacillus spp. cells. By means of the lipid mass balance for a single particle of biocatalyst, considering the kinetic model adapted for the immobilized bacterial cells, specific mathematical models have been developed to estimate their mass flows in the liquid boundary layer surrounding the particle and inside the particle. The values of mass flows are significantly influenced by the internal diffusion velocity of lipids and the rate of their consumption, but also by the position inside the basket bed. These influences accumulated led to the appearance of a biological inactive region near the particle centre, its magnitude varying from 1.3 to 49.4% of the overall volume of particles.     

Assessing the SALSA architecture for developing agent-based ambient computing applications

We have proposed the use of autonomous agents for coping with some of the challenges of creating ambient computing systems. The motivation of this research is that ambient computing environments are characterized by the distribution, reactivity, collaboration and adaptation of their artifacts, which are also characteristics attributed to software agents. To assist developers in creating the software entities of an ambient computing environment, the Simple Agent Library for Smart Ambients (SALSA) was created. The SALSA middleware and architecture enables the creation of autonomous agents reactive to the context of the ambient computing environment. SALSA agents can represent users, resources, or wrap complex system functionality of the environment. The aim of this paper is to provide evidence that SALSA facilitates the implementation of ambient computing services through autonomous agents. Unfortunately, the literature on Ubicomp development frameworks has, aside from a few exceptions, not reported experimental evaluation of their usability. The evaluations of Ubicomp development platforms have not addressed this issue since their evaluations have been mostly focused on performance and to prove feasibility. We present the results of an empirical evaluation conducted to assess the use of SALSA. This study included in-lab programming experiments and design exercises to evaluate the programming facilities provided by SALSA agents. Even though for some of the evaluation participants the use of autonomous agents as an abstraction for the development of ubiquitous computing systems was not innate, the evaluation results demonstrate that the execution model of SALSA and its facilities to implement Ubicomp systems are comprehensible.     

Molecular Mechanisms Underlying Intensive Care Unit-Acquired Weakness and Sarcopenia

Skeletal muscle is a highly adaptable organ, and its amount declines under catabolic conditions such as critical illness. Aging is accompanied by a gradual loss of muscle, especially when physical activity decreases. Intensive care unit-acquired weakness is a common and highly serious neuromuscular complication in critically ill patients. It is a consequence of critical illness and is characterized by a systemic inflammatory response, leading to metabolic stress, that causes the development of multiple organ dysfunction. Muscle dysfunction is an important component of this syndrome, and the degree of catabolism corresponds to the severity of the condition. The population of critically ill is aging; thus, we face another negative effect—sarcopenia—the age-related decline of skeletal muscle mass and function. Low-grade inflammation gradually accumulates over time, inhibits proteosynthesis, worsens anabolic resistance, and increases insulin resistance. The cumulative consequence is a gradual decline in muscle recovery and muscle mass. The clinical manifestation for both of the above conditions is skeletal muscle weakness, with macromolecular damage, and a common mechanism—mitochondrial dysfunction. In this review, we compare the molecular mechanisms underlying the two types of muscle atrophy, and address questions regarding possible shared molecular mechanisms, and whether critical illness accelerates the aging process.     

Crosstalk between Nutrition,Insulin, Juvenile Hormone,and Ecdysteroid Signaling in the Classical Insect Model,Rhodnius prolixus

The rigorous balance of endocrine signals that control insect reproductive physiology is crucial for the success of egg production. Rhodnius prolixus, a blood-feeding insect and main vector of Chagas disease, has been used over the last century as a model to unravel aspects of insect metabolism and physiology. Our recent work has shown that nutrition, insulin signaling, and two main types of insect lipophilic hormones, juvenile hormone (JH) and ecdysteroids, are essential for successful reproduction in R. prolixus; however, the interplay behind these endocrine signals has not been established. We used a combination of hormone treatments, gene expression analyses, hormone measurements, and ex vivo experiments using the corpus allatum or the ovary, to investigate how the interaction of these endocrine signals might define the hormone environment for egg production. The results show that after a blood meal, circulating JH levels increase, a process mainly driven through insulin and allatoregulatory neuropeptides. In turn, JH feeds back to provide some control over its own biosynthesis by regulating the expression of critical biosynthetic enzymes in the corpus allatum. Interestingly, insulin also stimulates the synthesis and release of ecdysteroids from the ovary. This study highlights the complex network of endocrine signals that, together, coordinate a successful reproductive cycle.     

Home-based communication system for older adults and their remote family

As in many Latin–American countries, in Mexico many older adults live alone as a result of the migration of one or more of their relatives, mostly to the USA. Thus, not only do they live alone, but they might seldom see these relatives for long periods, even though they often depend on them financially. With the goal of designing appropriate communication technology for seniors and their relatives experiencing this situation, we conducted interviews and evaluated scenarios and prototypes to reveal the practical ways they maintain emotional ties despite the distance. Based on those findings, we envisioned a communication system through which seniors and their relatives can maintain close social ties by sharing information, personal reminiscences and stories. We found that older adults perceived the system as a richer, natural form of communication with their relatives that could facilitate their integration into the networks that currently connect members of their families.     

Gelation of casein micelles in ��-casein reduced milk prepared using membrane filtration

Pasteurized skim milk was subjected to membrane filtration using a molecular weight cut-off of 80 kDa and a plate and frame pilot scale system at temperatures below 10 °C. Via this process, transmission of whey proteins and ??-casein through the membrane was achieved. The milk was concentrated to two times (based on volume reduction), and whey protein-free permeate was added to return to the original volume fraction of casein micelles in milk. This diafiltration process was carried out four times, and the retentate obtained was nearly free of whey proteins and with approximately 20% of ??-casein removed. The same membrane filtration was also carried out at 25 °C to achieve transmission of whey protein but not of ??-casein, and to obtain whey protein-depleted milk without depletion of ??-casein.The gelling behaviour of these samples, reconstituted to the original casein volume fraction, was examined using rheology and diffusing wave spectroscopy. When compared to the original skim milk it was found that there were no statistically significant differences in gelation behaviour during acidification, but differences were noted in gelation time and final stiffness modulus for samples undergoing renneting. These differences were attributed mostly to the changes in ionic composition, as when the serum composition of the retentates was re-equilibrated against the original skim milk by dialysis; the gelation behaviour of the samples was comparable to that of skim milk. The results clearly indicate the importance of the milk's overall ionic balance in the early stages of aggregation of rennet-induced gelation of milk.