Burst Detection by Water Demand Nowcasting Based on Exogenous Sensors

Bursts of drinking water pipes not only cause loss of drinking water, but also damage below and above ground infrastructure. Short-term water demand forecasting is a valuable tool in burst detection, as deviations between the forecast and actual water demand may indicate a new burst. Many of burst detection methods struggle with false positives due to non-seasonal water consumption as a result of e.g. environmental, economic or demographic exogenous influences, such as weather, holidays, festivities or pandemics. Finding a robust alternative that reduces the false positive rate of burst detection and does not rely on data from exogenous processes is essential. We present such a burst detection method, based on Bayesian ridge regression and Random Sample Consensus. Our exogenous nowcasting method relies on signals of all nearby flow and pressure sensors in the distribution net with the aim to reduce the false positive rate. The method requires neither data of exogenous processes, nor extensive historical data, but only requires one week of historical data per flow/pressure sensor. The exogenous nowcasting method is compared with a common water demand forecasting method for burst detection and shows sufficiently higher Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies of 82.7% - 90.6% compared to 57.9% - 77.7%, respectively. These efficiency ranges indicate a more accurate water demand prediction, resulting in more precise burst detection.

     

Food security problems in sub-Saharan Africa: Operations Research as a tool of analysis

For many years, the author has been involved in teaching and research in the use of Operations Research as a tool of analysis to study food security problems in sub‐Saharan Africa, in particular, grass root problems of poor farmers. The paper presents an introduction to the way Operations Research methods have been applied in case studies and research projects, and discusses in retrospect the author's views on the strengths and limitations of the application of Operations Research. The paper has in particular been written for people who are not familiar with applications of Operations Research in agriculture, and are interested to learn about its potential usefulness in practice. The retrospective part is largely based on food security studies in e.g. Tanzania, Burkina Faso, Bénin, Togo and Eritrea and on participation in several interdisciplinary research programmes in Africa.     

Similarities and differences in four views of David.

In this article, each author gives a brief comment on similarities he or she sees throughout the case formulations captured in the articles by Watson (2010a), Silberschatz (2010), Goldfried (2010), and Caspar (2010). A systematic comparison is added. Overall, the impression is confirmed and maintained that if authors are ready to renounce the use of the jargon of their specific approach, many similarities can be found. There are nevertheless differences that would lead us to expect a different course of therapy and different effects beyond the main effect of recovery in the case of David, pursuing the conceptualization and interventions proposed by Watson (2010b). (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Acoustic emission (AE) measurements to determine the dynamic flying characteristics of optical sliders

Flying heads carrying a magnetic coil and a high numerical aperture lens for magneto-optic recording or a solid immersion lens for optical phase change recording, respectively, are promising approaches for increasing the data density. A classic approach to dynamically evaluate the flight attitude of flying heads in data storage is acoustic emission (AE) testing of the head/disk interaction using special glide heads. In our paper we introduce the application of AE test heads for measuring the flying characteristics of optical far field and near field sliders. In comparison to conventional external AE sensors, i.e. sensors mounted somewhere in the drive, these AE elements are directly mounted on the sliders thus yielding a higher pulse shape and a better signal to noise ratio. This set-up allows a clear identification of the head disk contact. To calibrate the sensor a bump disk was fabricated and used for AE measurements.     

Controlled Single-Cooper-Pair Charging Effects in a Small Josephson Junction Array

We report on measurements of single-Cooper-pair charging effects in small Josephson junction arrays, and the experimental techniques that were used. We succeeded in having complete control over the array's electrostatic parameters; offset charges were accurately compensated, and the poisoning of 2e-periodic effects by quasiparticles was circumvented. This allowed for a controlled study of the array's coherent ground state. A few measurements gave results which were not fully 2e-periodic due to interesting parity effects. The arrays are in the regime where the energy scales for the Josephson effect and single-charge effects are comparable.     

Ten-channel coherent optical fibre transmission

A laboratory ten-channel coherent fibre-optic broadband transmission system is reported. The frequency-division-multiplexed optical carriers are separated by 6 GHz and are demultiplexed by a tunable heterodyne receiver having a sensitivity of -46 dBm at a bit error rate of 10-9. In this system a maximum number of 64 channels can be installed.     

The current status of psychotherapy integration in Germany and Switzerland.

The questions raised by Paul Wachtel are addressed in what follows. Some details have needed to be simplified, as what follows tries to describe the situation in two countries. Moreover, in one of them, Switzerland, the situation varies considerably from canton to canton (corresponding to U.S. states), reminding one of the joke in which a child asks his father where babies come from, and the father answers: "This all depends on the canton." (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

IL-10 regulates liver pathology in acute murine Schistosomiasis mansoni but is not required for immune down-modulation of chronic disease

We have used IL-10 gene knockout mice (IL-10T) to examine the role of endogenous IL-10 in the down-modulation of hepatic granuloma formation and lymphocyte responses that occurs in chronic infection with the helminth parasite Schistosoma mansoni. Although IL-10-deficient animals showed 20 to 30% mortality between 8 and 14 wk postinfection, they displayed no alterations in their susceptibility to infection and produced similar numbers of eggs as their wild-type littermates. The IL-10T mice displayed a significant increase in hepatic granuloma size at the acute stage of infection, which was associated with increased IFN-gamma, IL-2, IL-1beta, and TNF-alpha mRNA expression in liver and elevated Th1-type cytokine production by lymphoid cells. Despite developing an enhanced Th1-type cytokine response, the IL-10T mice showed no consistent decrease in their Th2-type cytokine profile. Surprisingly, although granulomatous inflammation was enhanced at the acute stage of infection, the livers of IL-10T mice displayed no significant increase in fibrosis and underwent normal immune down-modulation at the chronic stage of infection. Moreover, the down-modulated state could be induced in IL-10T mice by sensitizing the animals to schistosome eggs before infection, further demonstrating that the major down-regulatory mechanism is not dependent upon IL-10. We conclude that while IL-10 plays an important role in controlling acute granulomatous inflammation, it plays no essential role in the process of immune down-modulation in chronic schistosome infection.