一起500kV线路计量点事故隐患的分析与思考

本文简要介绍了500kV某回线计量点验收时发现事故隐患的过程,从电容式电压互感器本身结构出发,详细分析了产生事故隐患的原因、带来的危害等,并由此提出了计量点验收工作的重要性和必要性。     

基于灰色关联分析的电网安全事故关键致因分析

探讨和研究电网安全事故的影响因素及控制已成为预防电网安全事故发生的热点问题。为揭示电网安全事故发生的深层机理,基于事故致因理论,采用质性分析和灰色关联分析的方法,分析中国电网安全事故的关键致因。研究发现,电网安全事故的影响因素主要包括主体因素（认知因素、行为因素和身体因素）、过程因素（组织氛围因素和组织过程因素）、对象因素（设备可靠性低和设备管理松懈）及情境因素（作业环境因素和非作业环境因素）。灰色关联分析表明：电网安全事故的致因因素可以分为红色危险因素（r≥0.8）、橙色警备因素（0.7≤r＜0.8）和黄色警告因素（r＜0.7）,其中,组织氛围因素、认知因素和行为因素是电网安全事故的关键致因因素。在此基础上提出电网安全事故管理的政策建议,以期推动中国电网安全发展进程。     

供电企业信息作业风险评估研究

在深入研究事故致因理论、事故风险管理和供电企业生产作业风险管理的基础上,提出了供电企业信息作业风险评估的模型和方法。有助于供电企业建立一套基于风险管理的信息作业指导书,为信息运维人员提供安全作业操作规范,减少安全事故的发生。     

某混凝土重力坝裂缝分类及 产生原因综述

某水利枢纽工程碾压混凝土重力坝大坝混凝土在施工期产生一些裂缝,本文对混凝土裂缝进 行了分类,并对裂缝产生的原因进行了初步分析,供其他类似工程借鉴。     

Learning Causes: Psychological Explanations of Causal Explanation1

I argue that psychologists interested in human causal judgment should understand and adopt a representation of causal mechanisms by directed graphs that encode conditional independence (screening off) relations. I illustrate the benefits of that representation, now widely used in computer science and increasingly in statistics, by (i) showing that a dispute in psychology between mechanist and associationist psychological theories of causation rests on a false and confused dichotomy; (ii) showing that a recent, much-cited experiment, purporting to show that human subjects, incorrectly let large causes overshadow small causes, misrepresents the most likely, and warranted, causal explanation available to the subjects, in the light of which their responses were normative; (iii) showing how a recent psychological theory (due to P. Cheng) of human judgment of causal power can be considerably generalized: and (iv) suggesting a range of possible experiments comparing human and computer abilities to extract causal information from associations.     

The role of latent and active failures in workplace slips, trips and falls: an information processing approach

The vast majority of the published workplace slips, trips and falls (STF) literature is exceedingly narrow in its focus and often ignores wider systems issues in workplace STF aetiology. There is little recognition within the published literature of the importance of latent failures or the upstream organisational and cultural contexts within which workplace STF occur. This is unfortunate, as a systems approach to workplace STF analysis, that is inclusive of latent design and work organisation factors that often shape worker behaviour patterns related to STF risk (e.g. rushing, risk taking), is fundamental to the development of effective prevention measures. The aims of this paper are to provide an understanding of workplace STF causation that is cognisant of the potential role of both active and latent failures in STF causation. The paper presents an ergonomics model for workplace STF analysis that highlights information processing in STF aetiology, the STF incident process and the interaction between latent and active failures in STF causation. The paper draws upon ergonomics research conducted in a range of occupational contexts to illustrate the key features of the model as it applies to workplace STF. Implications of the model for analysis and prevention of STF are discussed.     

因果关系,贝叶斯网络与认知图

因果关系在预测和推理中具有重要的作用.贝叶斯网络已被用于构建诊断和决策系 统.近年来模糊认知图得到了重视.模糊认知图为结构性知识与因果推理提供了又一个理论 框架.本文简单介绍贝叶斯网络与认知图及其推理方法在智能系统中的应用.     

齐齐哈尔市城市防洪堤险工弱段成险因素分析

在论述堤体、堤基岩性组成的基础上，对险工弱段成险因素进行了分析，提出预防和消险措施。     

水泥混凝土路面早期裂缝的原因及防治

对造成水泥混凝土路面早期裂缝的原因进行了分析，并提出防治措施。