信息安全风险评估的模糊多准则决策方法

基于ISO/IEC17799标准建立了一个综合的信息系统风险分析框架,并运用模糊多准则决策(FMCDM)方法计算信息安全风险,根据风险等级矩阵(RLM)对信息资产风险进行级别划分,最终建立评估信息资产相关风险的完整模型。     

Accurate estimation of capacities and cross-traffic of all links in a path using ICMP timestamps

The estimation of the link capacity and its available bandwidth in an end-to-end path is crucial for network management, admission control and flow control for adaptive applications. This paper introduces an estimation mechanism able to accurately estimate the available bandwidth of all links in an end-to-end path, through its capacity and cross-traffic estimation. The estimation procedures resort to the dispersions of packet pairs and trains using the concepts of ICMP Timestamp and Traceroute that, efficiently used together, enable the measurement of the dispersions in all links in the path. These mechanisms were evaluated through simulation experiments, where we analyzed the influence of the several network parameters on each estimation mechanism. The results show that these estimation methods are able to accurately estimate both the capacity and the cross-traffic of all links in a path with moderate length and with low overhead.     

双波长稳频CO_2激光模糊控制系统的建模与优化

报导一种模糊逻辑控制系统的建模与优化方法。以此方法设计的模糊逻辑控制器，用于双波长稳频ＣＯ２激光器的控制得到令人满意的结果。     

真空冻干生产线模糊控制系统

介绍了采用模糊控制技术解决真空冻干生产线控制中大超调量、大滞后等问题的方法 ,详述了模糊控制系统的构成、主要功能和实现方法     

模糊数学识别火山岩岩性

针对火岩地层岩性识别成功率低的状况，应用模糊数学原理，建立模糊数学识别火山岩岩性模式，识别和划分火山岩地层岩性，以便进一步深入研究火山岩油气藏储层，选择8个反映火山岩岩性测井参数，确定阈值；利用所建立的火山岩岩性识别模式，对火山岩岩性进行分类；依据最大隶属原则，识别火山岩岩性，应用实地研究资料，识别10种火山岩岩性，并与岩心鉴定统计分析结果对比，一致性达85％。表明该方法识别火山岩岩性精度较高，在地质上具有很好的应用前景。     

Extrapolation of fuzzy values from incomplete data bases

This paper presents different approaches which enable a data base management system to obtain a plausible fuzzy estimate for an attribute value of an item for which the information is not explicitly stored in the data base. This can be made either by a kind of analogical reasoning from information about particular items or by means of expert rules which specify the (fuzzy) sets of possible values of the attribute under consideration, for various classes of items. Another kind of expert rules enables the system to compute an estimate from the attribute value of another item provided that, in other respects, this latter item sufficiently resembles the item, the value of which we are interested in; then these expert rules are used either for controlling the analogical reasoning process or for enlarging the scope of application of the first kind of expert rules. The different approaches are discussed in the framework of possibility theory.     

A Bayesian propensity score adjustment for latent variable modeling and MCMC algorithm

The estimation of the differences among groups in observational studies is frequently inaccurate owing to a bias caused by differences in the distributions of covariates. In order to estimate the average treatment effects when the treatment variable is binary, Rosenbaum and Rubin [1983. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika 70, 41-55] proposed an adjustment method for pre-treatment variables using propensity scores. Imbens [2000. The role of the propensity score in estimating dose-response functions. Biometrika 87, 706-710] extended the propensity score methodology for estimation of average treatment effects with multivalued treatments.However, these studies focused only on estimating the marginal mean structure. In many substantive sciences such as the biological and social sciences, a general estimation method is required to deal with more complex analyses other than regression, such as testing group differences on latent variables. For latent variable models, the EM algorithm or the traditional Monte Carlo methods are necessary. However, in propensity score adjustment, these methods cannot be used because the full distribution is not specified.In this paper, we propose a quasi-Bayesian estimation method for general parametric models that integrate out the distributions of covariates using propensity scores. Although the proposed Bayes estimates are shown to be consistent, they can be calculated by existing Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as Gibbs sampler. The proposed method is useful to estimate parameters in latent variable models, while the previous methods were unable to provide valid estimates for complex models such as latent variable models.We also illustrated the procedure using the data obtained from the US National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (NLSY1979-2002) for estimating the effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on the development of the child's cognitive functioning.     

智能工作站主机的MMPIS实验模型研究──一个全互连式结构MMPIS硬件环境的设计与实现

本文介绍中日国际合作开发研究的Ａ１型智能网（Ａ１型ＩＮ）智能工作站（ＩＷ）主机的并行推理硬件结构的实验模型设计与实现，给出了一种并行推理硬件支持环境实现方案和该方案在实现中若干问题的解决方法。     

一种产生式系统的并行推理模型

1.引言 在人工智能领域中,产生式系统是一种比较有效的知识表示方法,并得到了广泛应用。目前许多较为成功的专家系统都是用产生式系统实现的~[1]。随着应用领域的不断扩士其知识座的抓橄称渐增     

用Promax处理LD22-l“模糊带”地震资料

通过LD22-l构造地震资料目标处理,搞清了“模糊带”,引进交互处理系统是成功的.