压裂水平井产能预测方法研究进展

水平井压裂技术在低渗透及非常规储层中得到了广泛应用,压裂后水平井的产能预测关系到油田开发方案的制定,因此,国内外学者对压后渗流模型的建立和求解方法做出了不懈的努力。本文详细回顾了国内外学者所建压裂水平井产能预测模型及求解方法,指出了不同模型和求解方法的优缺点,并展望了压裂水平井产能模型的发展方向。     

大牛地气田异常修正等时试井资料求取产能方法

大牛地气田为低渗-致密气田,因存在启动压力梯度等因素,修正等时试井曲线按常规方法处理出现异常,无法准确获取气井的产能方程.采用LIT法和异常曲线校正法对气田异常试井资料进行了重新处理,最终获得气井产能方程,为同类气藏产能试井可能出现的异常资料处理解释探索了新的途径.     

川东气藏直井完井方法的产能预测研究

在分析研究目前国内外油气井完井产能计算经验公式的基础上，针对四川气田东部浅层气藏常用的几种完井方式，建立了该地区完井产能预测的数学模型。通过实例计算，表明了其数学模型的准确可行性，并为出砂井和非出砂井的完井方式提供了选择依据：对于出砂井，砾石裸眼充填完井方式是最理想的完井方式；对于非出砂井，实际裸眼完井的产能最大。得出的结论对该地区直井完井方式的选择，完井参数优化设计以及产能预测具有一定的指导作用。     

重复压裂气井产能模拟研究

由于重复压裂气井原有裂缝的失效程度难以评价。导致重复压裂气井的产能预测常常有很大的误差。为此，根据重复压裂气井的压前产量和舍水率，拟合了原有裂缝的有效率，在考虑新裂缝和原有裂缝共同作用的情况下，建立了气、水两相平面二维的裂缝-油藏数学模型，通过对模型的数值求解，对重复压裂气井进行了产能评价。研究表明，在考虑新、老裂缝共同作用下的产能评价方法，能更为准确地预测重复压裂后的生产动态情况，对压裂时机的确定、压后经济效益的预测都具有重要的指导意义。     

选矿工艺流程的计算

选矿工艺流程计算很繁琐 ,试通过对磁选工艺流程的分析计算举例 ,展示较为简单适用的计算方法。     

预测油气田产量的β模型

通过对油气田产量变化规律进行系统研究，推导建立了预测油气田产量的β模型。该模型不但可以预测油气田产量、累积产量随生产时间的变化，而且可以预测可采储量、最高年产量及其发生的时间。实例检验该模型是可信的。     

建立气井产能方程及计算地层压力的新方法

气井产量取决于井底流动压力，所以气井产能方程应该能够直接描述流压与产量的关系。文中基于气井二项式产能方程，提出了可以直接反映流压与产量之间关系的二元回归形式的产能方程模型。介绍了该模型的基本原理并进行了实例分析。该模型可以预测地层压力。     

Information systems effectiveness: research designs for causal inference

Abstract. This paper examines the capacity of the research designs of 37 empirical studies of information systems (IS) effectiveness to provide a basis for the development of theories about behaviour related to IS effectiveness. The power of each study to support causal inference was evaluated in terms of (a) its handling of the time dimension, (b) its ability to weigh differences and (c) its resistance to internal validity threats that pose alternative explanations for its reported findings. Of the reviewed studies, 29.7% could account for the time dimension, 32.4% employed a comparison group and 16.2% were not susceptible to any internal validity threats. Only 13.5% of the studies combined an accounting for the time dimension with the use of a comparison group. Of these, however, only 5.4% were also invulnerable to internal validity threats. The research designs of nearly 95% of these published studies were deficient in supporting causal inference. In those studies, suggestions that one variable was causally related to another variable could not be substantiated. Encouragement for the future capacity of IS effectiveness research to support causal inference was found in a trend towards the use of quasiexperimental designs. Recommendations are made regarding ways to increase the inferential capacity of research designs employed in the study of IS effectiveness.     

An exploration of the problems of using function points mark II

Abstract. This paper examines critically the function point analysis mark II (FPA mark II) method of measuring the functionality of information systems. Although the focus of the paper is on FPA mark II as devised by Symons, both this and the Albrecht method, from which the FPA mark II was developed, are briefly discussed. The published attempts to validate FPA mark II are reviewed and then the problems encountered by the author in applying the approach are described. The final part of the paper is concerned with the fit between SSADM and FPA mark II.     

考虑介质变形和长期导流能力的裂缝性气藏压裂产能模拟研究

在气藏开采过程中，由于孔隙压力的不断降低，使得介质变形而导致渗透率的变化，进而影响井的产量。针对这一问题，提出了各种流体与固体耦合的数值模拟模型。然而，对于裂缝性储层和多相渗流问题，流固耦合模型中许多参数不易获取，且求解难度很大，使得耦合模型存在一定的应用局限性。很少有文献在气井产能模拟时将介质变形和就地的长期导流能力加以综合考虑。文章考虑介质变形引起的天然裂缝渗透率的变化和裂缝导流能力随时间递减的影响，建立了裂缝性气藏压裂后气水两相渗流数学模型，推导出了数值计算模型；本模型易于编程求解，对于研究裂缝性气藏的渗流特征，特别是进行单井压后产能预测具有一定的实用意义。计算表明：不考虑介质变形和导流能力递减所预测的气产量偏高；目前普遍使用的气藏数值模拟软件中，假定渗透率、裂缝导流能力为常数，以致模拟计算结果比实际偏高。