一种新的变步长ICA自适应算法

结合互信息极小的优化判据，基于估计函数期望平方准则、外点法和最速下降法的思想，本文导出了一种新的变步长独立分量分析(ICA)自适应算法。该算法克服了固定步长在分离矩阵推导过程中出现的稳态失调问题，比基于模拟退火步长的ICA算法有更快的仞始收敛速度和较高的分离精度。同时，该算法还具有较好的时变系统跟踪能力。理论分析和仿真计算结果证实了其可以有效地提高ICA的自适虚性，更准确地完成盲信号分离。     

运用模糊数学原理估算水利水电工程的成本

为了适应水利水电工程成本快速估价的需要,提出了一种建立在模糊数学基本原理基础上的估价模型,克服了工程量清单计价方法计算繁琐的缺点。通过实例说明了该方法的科学性、合理性及实用性。     

极限训练机在矿山开采最大下沉值估算中的应用

矿山开采过程中采空区地表往往会发生形变,研究其最大下沉值对安全生产具有重要意义,现有的开采最大下沉估算方法还有提升的空间。基于岩移数据决策与极限训练机(Extreme learning machine,ELM)算法,提出了一种估计最大下沉的新方法。该方法将采厚、倾角、平均采深、走向长度、倾向长度和覆岩岩性确定为最大下沉值影响因素;应用以Sigmoid方程为核函数、隐含层神经元个数为114的ELM模型对最大下沉值进行了估算。通过案例分析,ELM模型得到了优于传统算法如CHAID、Boosted Tree、ANN、BPNN和SVM的RMSE、MAE、MAPE、最大残差及秩相关系数,故认为该模型是一种有效的矿山开采最大下沉估算方法。     

基于直觉模糊推理的网络舆情预警方法*

为解决网络舆情预警等级问题,提出了一种基于直觉模糊推理的网络舆情预警方法。借鉴战场态势分析思想,对网络舆情态势分析的原理进行了阐述,选取了适合计算机实现的七个网络舆情态势分析模式对预警等级进行判断。选择七个舆情话题进行实验,实验结果表明,该方法能够准确地估计出威胁等级,符合专家经验判断,说明该方法是可行的。     

利用上下边界估计的图像增强方法

提出了一种基于上下边界估计的快速图像增强方法.该方法使用上边界提升图像的细节信息,使用下边界消除图像的雾霾成分,调整上下边界的距离可灵活控制图像增强的程度,在上下边界计算过程中采用了加权中值滤波,能够在有效去噪的同时保持图像边界清晰.实验结果表明,该算法能有效改善图像质量,保持图像细节信息,压缩图像动态范围,色彩逼近于真实环境,且避免了光晕的产生.     

Life cycle inventory for base metal ingots production in Japan including mining and mineral processing processes by cost estimating system database

CO2 emission levels of copper and zinc mines from which Japanese smelters import ore concentrates into Japan, were estimated by using a database called MLED. Eleven copper mines selected from data availability of mine site covered 84% of the total imported concentrates. Adding inventories of sea transportation and smelting processes to mine development process, total CO2 emission level for copper and zinc ingots produced in Japan were calculated. The results show that the emission share of mining and mineral processing processes for each mine is indicated around 30%-70% of total emission for ingots, which implies the importance of including the mining activities to the inventory of upper stream products.     

GEE type inference for clustered zero-inflated negative binomial regression with application to dental caries

Use of zero-inflated count data models is common in applications where the number of zero counts exceeds that predicted from a traditional count data model such as Poisson or negative binomial. When count data exhibiting inflated zero counts are correlated among subjects, a natural approach will be to fit a marginal model with the help of generalized estimating equations (GEE) that can incorporate subject-to-subject correlations. A GEE based zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) model is proposed to fit clustered counts with excessive zeros. However, the corresponding sandwich variance estimator appears to underestimate the true variance. The theoretical reasons for its failure are explained and a correction under additional modeling assumptions is offered. In addition, a clustered resampling (bootstrap) procedure is proposed to estimate the variance and it is shown that the bootstrap procedure captures the correct variance under no additional model assumptions. Utility of this marginal GEE based ZINB model over two other competing models has been assessed using a thorough simulation study. The resulting inference procedure is applied to study the association between the dental caries and fluoride exposures using a dataset extracted from the Iowa Fluoride Study. A number of risk factors of clinical significance are reliably identified using the proposed model.     

多步历史估计信息反馈多模型融合方法

针对强机动和大观测误差下的目标跟踪问题,传统低阶多模型融合方法存在估计精度较低、鲁棒性较差的缺点;高阶多模型融合方法面临计算量增大和保证实时性之间的矛盾.为此本文针对一类多步稳健机动目标跟踪问题提出一种基于历史估计信息反馈的多模型融合框架,首先累积和反馈历史估计信息,然后结合当前量测计算多阶模型序列的似然函数,最后得到贝叶斯后验融合结果.同时结合粒子滤波构建了易于工程实现的粒子滤波历史反馈多模型融合算法(PF-HFMM).仿真表明,与传统粒子滤波多模型算法相比,本法显著提高了估计精度和鲁棒性.     

基于水资源核算的太湖流域水环境退化成本分析

为合理制定流域水价,加强流域水资源统一管理,提高水资源节约利用水平,促进水资源可持续利用,对水环境与经济社会产生的关系进行综合考量;在核算太湖流域2010年水资源的基础上,分别利用基于防护费用的评估方法和基于损害的水环境退化估价方法,计算分析2010年太湖流域水环境退化成本。结果表明:对污染物进行源头治理不仅是出于对环境保护的考虑,更是尽可能地降低水环境退化成本、避免经济损失的最佳选择。水环境退化分析为合理制定水价及水资源统一管理提供了重要参考。     

最小跳数路由无线传感器网络中的节点距离测量

无线传感器网络中的间接距离测量是一种性价比极高的距离测量方法,但目前测量精度还有待进一步提高。根据最小跳数路由无线传感器网络的行为特征,提出了一种基于最小跳数路由及其路由重复数的节点距离测量算法,与DV-hop算法相比,借助路由重复数较大地提高了距离测量精度。理论分析及仿真结果表明,该算法在节点密集分布的无线传感器网络中具有很好的效果。