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1.
Although rainfall input uncertainties are widely identified as being a key factor in hydrological models, the rainfall uncertainty is typically not included in the parameter identification and model output uncertainty analysis of complex distributed models such as SWAT and in maritime climate zones. This paper presents a methodology to assess the uncertainty of semi-distributed hydrological models by including, in addition to a list of model parameters, additional unknown factors in the calibration algorithm to account for the rainfall uncertainty (using multiplication factors for each separately identified rainfall event) and for the heteroscedastic nature of the errors of the stream flow. We used the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis algorithm (DREAM(zs)) to infer the parameter posterior distributions and the output uncertainties of a SWAT model of the River Senne (Belgium). Explicitly considering heteroscedasticity and rainfall uncertainty leads to more realistic parameter values, better representation of water balance components and prediction uncertainty intervals.  相似文献   
2.
This study deals with the formulation of natural drugs into hydrogels. For the first time, compounds from the sage essential oil were formulated into chitosan hydrogels. A sample preparation procedure for hydrophobic volatile analytes present in a hydrophilic water matrix along with an analytical method based on the gas chromatography coupled with the mass spectrometry (GC-MS) was developed and applied for the evaluation of the identity and quantity of essential oil components in the hydrogels and saline samples. The experimental results revealed that the chitosan hydrogels are suitable for the formulation of sage essential oil. The monoterpene release can be effectively controlled by both chitosan and caffeine concentration in the hydrogels. Permeation experiment, based on a hydrogel with the optimized composition [3.5% (w/w) sage essential oil, 2.0% (w/w) caffeine, 2.5% (w/w) chitosan and 0.1% (w/w) Tween-80] in donor compartment, saline solution in acceptor compartment, and semi-permeable cellophane membrane, demonstrated the useful permeation selectivity. Here, (according to lipophilicity) an enhanced permeation of the bicyclic monoterpenes with antiflogistic and antiseptic properties (eucalyptol, camphor and borneol) and, at the same time, suppressed permeation of toxic thujone (not exceeding its permitted applicable concentration) was observed. These properties highlight the pharmaceutical importance of the developed chitosan hydrogel formulating sage essential oil in the dermal applications.  相似文献   
3.
为了成功预测竹林山煤矿综放高瓦斯矿井大采高工作面煤层瓦斯涌出量,以主采3号煤层为主要研究对象,针对3号煤层以往开采情况,通过布设测点测量其煤层瓦斯含量和了解相邻矿井瓦斯含量,采用分源预测法、回归法及统计法等预测方法得到了3号煤层瓦斯含量的分布规律,并绘制了3号煤层的瓦斯含量等值线图。对矿井不同生产时期的瓦斯含量进行预测,得到了生产前期、中期及后期采区的最大绝对瓦斯涌出量和最大相对瓦斯涌出量,说明了竹林山煤矿各个时期均属于高瓦斯矿井。  相似文献   
4.
A steelmaking-continuous casting (SCC) scheduling problem is an example of complex hybrid flow shop scheduling problem (HFSSP) with a strong industrial background. This paper investigates the SCC scheduling problem that involves controllable processing times (CPT) with multiple objectives concerning the total waiting time, earliness/tardiness and adjusting cost. The SCC scheduling problem with CPT is seldom discussed in the existing literature. This study is motivated by the practical situation of a large integrated steel company in which the just-in-time (JIT) and cost-cutting production strategy have become a significant concern. To address this complex HFSSP, the scheduling problem is decomposed into two subproblems: a parallel machine scheduling problem (PMSP) in the last stage and an HFSSP in the upstream stages. First, a hybrid differential evolution (HDE) algorithm combined with a variable neighborhood decomposition search (VNDS) is proposed for the former subproblem. Second, an iterative backward list scheduling (IBLS) algorithm is presented to solve the latter subproblem. The effectiveness of this bi-layer optimization approach is verified by computational experiments on well-designed and real-world scheduling instances. This study provides a new perspective on modeling and solving practical SCC scheduling problems.  相似文献   
5.
Shale gas, as an important unconventional resource, has drawn global attention. It is mainly composed of adsorption gas and free gas. Adsorption gas content could play an important guiding role on both the selection of favorable perspective area and the exploration and exploitation of shale gas resources. In order to accurately measure adsorption gas content, a new approach was established to predict the adsorption isotherm of methane on shale. Based on the simplified local-density (SLD) method, both the adsorption isotherms of illite, illite/smectite mixed-layer, cholorite and type III kerogen and the total shale rock could be well fitted. The fitting results show good coincidences with the true experimental test data, which proves the method is reasonable and dependable and the prediction results are effective and credible. In addition, the good simulation results show that the SLD parameters can reflect the pore structure characteristics and corresponding adsorption characteristics of the shale samples, which can be used for the quantitative characterization of shale pore system.  相似文献   
6.
分析了冶炼烟气制酸工艺的特点,介绍了由PROFIBUS-DP现场总线构建的冶炼厂烟气制酸监控系统,详细介绍了其硬件配置及相应的软件设计。  相似文献   
7.
板厚为 5 5mm的 16Mn钢采用CO2 半自动气保焊建造大型转炉炉体的可能性和可靠性如何 ?目前尚缺少足够的试验数据。为了给转炉工程的施工焊接提供可靠数据 ,确保焊接质量 ,对板厚 5 5mm16Mn钢CO2 半自动的焊接性能进行了一系列的试验研究  相似文献   
8.
王念喜  李雪雁 《油气井测试》2006,15(2):18-20,24
大牛地气田为低渗-致密气田,因存在启动压力梯度等因素,修正等时试井曲线按常规方法处理出现异常,无法准确获取气井的产能方程.采用LIT法和异常曲线校正法对气田异常试井资料进行了重新处理,最终获得气井产能方程,为同类气藏产能试井可能出现的异常资料处理解释探索了新的途径.  相似文献   
9.
与常规的小型测试压裂不同,流体注入诊断测试(DFIT)是通过关井阶段出现的拟线性流或拟径向流阶段求取储层压力,采用改进的梅耶霍夫方法(M-method)解释储层渗透率。以长庆榆林气田一口开发井为例,依据DFIT的技术原理和测试步骤,对该井测试压降数据进行解释分析,结果可信度较高,证明了该项工艺在长庆低压低渗油气田的可行性。  相似文献   
10.
湘中海相浅层湘冷1井酸压工艺研究及应用   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
湘冷1井具有气层埋藏浅(400m-500m)、纵向上裂隙发育的特点,属低孔、低渗的含泥质灰岩致密储层。大量室内实验和研究采用“前置液酸压+闭合酸化”工艺技术,并优选了相应降阻酸和闭合酸配方。通过酸压实现了该井工业油气流的突破,取得了明显的增产效果,为新区海相浅层气的开发探索出了一套成熟的改造增产措施。  相似文献   
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