A practical assessment of risk-averse approaches in production lot-sizing problems

ABSTRACT

This paper presents an empirical assessment of four state-of-the-art risk-averse approaches to deal with the capacitated lot-sizing problem under stochastic demand. We analyse two mean-risk models based on the semideviation and on the conditional value-at-risk risk measures, and alternate first and second-order stochastic dominance approaches. The extensive computational experiments based on different instances characteristics and on a case-study suggest that CVaR exhibits a good trade-off between risk and performance, followed by the semideviation and first-order stochastic dominance approach. For all approaches, enforcing risk-aversion helps to reduce the cost-standard deviation substantially, which is usually accomplished via increasing production rates. Overall, we can say that very risk-averse decision-makers would be willing to pay an increased price to have a much less risky solution given by CVaR. In less risk-averse settings, though, semideviation and first-order stochastic dominance can be appealing alternatives to provide significantly more stable production planning costs with a marginal increase of the expected costs.     

两段式热脱焦油煤气炉在环形加热炉上的开发应用

介绍了两段式煤气发生炉热脱焦油煤气在无缝钢管环形加热炉上的开发与应用 ,以及两段式煤气发生炉热脱焦油煤气站的设计和采用热脱焦油煤气代替重油所产生的经济效益     

Second-law-based thermodynamic analysis of two-stage and mechanical-subcooling refrigeration cycles

Thermodynamic analysis of HFC-134a vapor-compression refrigeration cycles is investigated by both the first and second laws of thermodynamics. Second-law analysis is carried out for both two-stage and mechanical-subcooling refrigeration cycles. The analysis is performed on each of the system components to determine their individual contribution to the overall system irreversible losses. It is found that most of the losses are due to a low compressor efficiency. Irreversibilities of expansion valves and condenser are also significant. In addition, it is shown that the optimum inter-stage pressure for two-stage and mechanical-subcooling refrigeration systems is very close to the saturation pressure corresponding to the arithmetic mean of the refrigerant condensation and evaporation temperatures. These results are compared with the existing practice in the industry. Furthermore, theoretical results of a two-stage refrigeration system performance are also compared with experimental values for a CFC-22 system.     

Two-stage fatigue loading of woven carbon fibre reinforced laminates

A brief review of the models used to predict the cumulative fatigue damage in FRP composites is presented. Two‐stage fatigue loading of a [0/90,± 45₂,0/90]_s quasi‐ isotropic woven carbon fibre/epoxy resin laminate was evaluated at stress ratio R = 0.05 and the failure mechanisms investigated using x‐radiography after each loading stage. The results are presented in terms of fatigue strength and damage growth and are compared with those in the literature. A low‐to‐high loading sequence is more damaging than a high‐to‐low one and the Palmgren‐Miner linear damage rule may no longer be valid for this kind of material, as previously reported.     

粉末冶金自润滑止推板的研究和应用

采用粉末冶金技术制备出车辆发动机涡轮增压器用自润滑止推板,研究了材料的基体强化、组织结构和摩擦磨损特性,分析了装机台架综合考核数据,并且与国际上同类产品进行比较,结果表明:该材料综合性能优于国际上同类产品,现已投入工业化生产和批量使用。     

基于BA-WPHM的滚动轴承两阶段剩余寿命预测方法

为了提高滚动轴承剩余寿命预测的准确性,根据滚动轴承运行过程的两阶段性特点,提出了一种基于蝙蝠算法(BA)和威布尔比例风险模型(WPHM)的滚动轴承两阶段剩余寿命预测方法。首先,构建基于WPHM的剩余寿命预测模型;其次,提出了两阶段极大似然估计法,建立新的似然函数,并利用BA算法进行求解,以提高参数估计的准确性;最后,建立BA-WPHM模型对滚动轴承进行剩余寿命预测。案例分析表明,相比于Newton-Raphson算法、自组织分层猴群算法(SHMA)和独特的自适应粒子群算法(UAPSO),提出的方法参数估计的准确性更高,剩余寿命的预测精度优于支持向量回归(SVR)方法,验证了所提方法的有效性,为滚动轴承维修决策的可行性提供了依据。     

γ—TiAl增压涡轮熔模铸造过程数值模拟研究

根据熔模型壳离心浇注的铸造工艺特点，建立了γ－TiAl增压涡轮凝固传热过程的数值模型，推导了离心压力下γ－TiAl金属间化合物的凝固收缩和补缩过程数学模型，模拟计算了γ－TiAl增压涡轮铸件的温度场和收缩缺陷，结果表明，模型能可靠计算γ－TiAl增压涡轮铸件凝固过程的温度分布和准确预测铸件的收缩缺陷，数值模拟结果与实验结果吻合良好，数值模拟结果证实了前期工作所提出的进一步减少及消除收缩缺陷的优化工艺措施的合理性。     

常规两段浸出法提高锌焙烧矿中铜回收率的研究

分析了不同湿法炼锌工艺锌焙烧矿中回收铜的工艺,发现各工艺都存在不同的工艺缺点。借鉴国内锌冶炼企业开展的常规两段浸出法提高铜回收率的生产经验,进行了锌焙烧矿中铜、铁、硅的浸出机理研究,并且根据该机理提出了常规两段浸出法的改进工艺流程,按照该工艺流程开展了试验研究,将铜的回收率提高到了76.41%。     

新型CDCM催化剂在两段提升管催化裂化装置上的应用

CDCM催化剂在800 kt·a^－1两段提升管重油催化裂化装置（TSRFCC）上的应用结果表明,该催化剂具有活性高、目的产品选择性好、重油裂解能力强和抗重金属污染能力强的特点。能显著改善产品分布和提高产品质量，在操作条件基本不变的情况下，液态烃收率和总液收分别可提高2.80和0.60个百分点，同时汽油辛烷值和诱导期提高，液态烃中丙烯含量增加。