Confidence intervals for dependent data: Equating non-overlap with statistical significance

We revisit the problem of determining confidence interval widths for the comparison of means. For the independent two-sample (two-sided) case, Goldstein and Healy (1995) draw attention to the fact that comparisons based on 95% error bars are not very effective in assessing the statistical significance of the difference in means and derive the correct confidence interval for such a comparison. We provide an extension to Goldstein and Healy (1995) to account for the correlation structure and unequal variances. We use the results to develop rules of thumb for evaluating differences, in an exploratory manner, like Moses (1987) and Cumming (2009), from the independent case. We illustrate the method for the simple comparison of two means in a real data set, provide R code that may be easily implemented in practice, and discuss the extension of the method to other applied problems.     

穆青新闻传播思想刍议

通过对穆青新闻思想背景、新闻观念（媒介功能观、舆论观和新闻价值观）和新闻报道方式等方面进行阐述,透视穆青新闻传播思想特点：现实体验的文学化转换;政治语境下的媒体预设;超越事实的意义化表述,并以此挖掘其社会主义性质与新闻专业精神的内在矛盾,揭示其新闻观对后世新闻思想发展的引导价值及现实意义。     

对国有企业学习型党组织建设一点思考

建设学习型党组织是党的十七大作出的重大战略部署,如何加强学习型党组织建设,增强企业科学发展能力,是各级组织和领导必须认真思考的重要课题。通过理性思考和分析,就建设学习型党组织应把握的关键环节、相关原则,以及方法和途径提出一些见解。     

Extension of Sample Sizes and Percentage Points for Significance Tests of Outlying Observations

Tables of percentage points for significance tests conrerning the highest or the lowest observation in normal samples, or the two highest or the two lowest observations in normal samples, were recently extended to larger sample sizes than heretofore published and to probability levels of .005 and .001. These tables are being pltblished to satisfy a long existing demand for such extensions.     

关于推动中国天然气能源革命的思考

为了面对能源供需格局新变化、国际能源发展新趋势,保障能源安全,国家积极推动能源革命,能源改革政策频出。为了适应国家推动能源革命的迫切要求,建立现代天然气能源产业体系,应对天然气产业发展所遇到的挑战已势在必行。在分析天然气能源革命提出的背景基础上,明晰天然气能源革命内涵,构建其基础结构模式。分析认为,中国的天然气能源革命是一项复杂的巨系统工程,是长期战略任务。进而提出建议:①实施"非常规资源保供"战略工程,建立多元网络供应保障体系;②实施"天然气能源替代"战略工程,打造清洁高效能源消费主角;③实施"天然气技术突破"战略工程,建立国际领先核心技术体系;④实施"天然气市场变革"战略工程,推动能源市场资源优化配置;⑤实施"天然气开放合作"战略工程,持续提升国际话语权影响力。该研究成果对丰富我国能源革命的内涵,助推能源革命发展具有重要的意义。     

Estimating using cost significant global cost models

Cost significant models have been suggested as one way of overcoming criticisms of the amount of detail contained within the traditional bill of quantities. Recent research into these models reveals a lack of formal rules for the selection of work packages to be used within the models, and a potential to overestimate the cost of projects. This paper presents a methodology for selecting work packages, and recommends a refinement to the technique that reduces the variability in estimates produced using cost significance. Estimates are produced using both the traditional method of producing cost significant models, and a refined global cost methodology. Both techniques are tested against unpriced bills to measure the difference in results, with significant improvements being achieved with the new technique.     

企业购并的税收筹划

在公司购并和重组时,税收筹划有着重要的意义,通过统筹考虑、全面权衡,制订合理筹划方案,既能降低企业税负,又能提高企业整体价值。制订方案时要重点关注需缴纳税费、亏损承继结转、支付方式、合并费用扣除等方面。     

景观设计的人文要素概念初探

在了解人文概念的基础上,文章确立了景观设计的人文要素概念,以及景观设计概念与文明进程,并对其在景观设计中的地位和意义进行了阐明,进而理顺景观设计的人文要素与其他要素的关系是十分必要的。     

浅析旧工业建筑的改造与再利用

旧工业建筑是一个城市历史文化不断发展的见证,对旧工业建筑的改造和再利用是城市有机更新的重要组成部分。本文深入剖析了旧工业建筑改造和再利用的经济、环境、历史、文化、社会意义。以成都的“东郊记忆”为例,阐述了具有现实意义的,旧工业建筑改造和再利用开发设计模式,并引发了对于目前改造存在问题的思考。     

底层架空的哲学意蕴

文章追溯了干栏建筑的历史渊源和演变历程,探讨了自然环境、社会客观条件、人文因素对干栏形式的产生和发展的影响;探讨底层架空现象和干栏形式的同构关系,在哲学意义上分析底层架空形式的特征、形式、应用意义和推广价值。