基于随机分析和概率预测的固定式海洋平台结构风险评估研究

对极端海况进行了环境荷载的联合概率分析。引入了整体不确定性和敏感性分析理论,利用非正态过程、具有不同相关性的多变量随机模拟技术,求解结构的失效概率。提出结构失效分析的新方法,并利用DNV提供的历史数据,对结构失效的后果做了适当分析。以埕北12-C井组平台为实例,对平台甲板高程(Air Gap)失效分析进行了实例计算。结果表明,使用多维联合极值分布理论及相应的求解方法,是离岸工程结构物风险评估的重要手段。     

秦山核电厂全厂断电事故厂外后果分析

采用MELCOR和MACCS程序对秦山核电厂全厂断电事故的源项和厂外后果进行了计算。该事故会引起厂外群体受到较大剂量的放射性照射，但剂量不足以引发早期确定性健康效应。并对可能采取的应急防护行动进行评估，确定最佳防护措施为：安全壳泄漏阶段实施隐蔽；若安全壳超压失效无法避免，应急计划区内应立即实施撤离。     

堆底熔穿事故的场外后果及其对策

在压水堆核电站应急计划和应急响应中，堆底熔穿事故占有重要位置。本文用法国核电厂事故源项Ｓ３（对应于堆底熔穿事故）计算了在典型气象条件下的场外放射学的后果，根据一般防护决策原则和我国颁布的干预水平，提出了保护公众的应急防护措施的建议。     

真空压铸的发展

真空系统是压铸过程中排除气体的最有效的方法之一。然而，真空压铸的发展几经起伏，现在则发展到一个新的阶段。从模具中抽出气体是几种抽气方法中较为简便的一种。真空气道的设计与常规气道则有所不同     

真空水冷铜坩埚感应炉模糊控制专家系统的研究

研究真空水冷铜坩埚感应炉中模糊控制专家系统。阐述该炉控制系统复杂性 ,介绍模糊控制专家系统的主要结构和各主要部分的功能和一些算法     

Pressure release characteristics of premixed hydrogen-air mixtures in an explosion venting device with a duct

The technology of explosion venting with a duct can effectively reduce the destructive effect generated from gas accidental explosion in the place of intensive industrial production, while it is not applicable to the production site designed for the technology without ducts. Since it is not clear how to quantitatively evaluate the regularity of energy release in explosion venting especially under high cracking pressure, it is still challenging on the safe application of the technology. This paper aimed to explore the basic characteristics of explosion pressure in a 20 L sphere vessel and venting duct during hydrogen explosion venting for safety design. The effects of the cracking pressure and duct length on explosion pressure at different positions were systematically analyzed according to the test of the hydrogen with different concentrations in an explosion venting device with a duct. Comparing the results of explosion pressure characteristics with experiments conducted in a device without a duct, and quantitatively analyzing the pressure release rule, manifested that the presence of the duct reduced the explosion venting efficiency to a certain extent. In the meantime, by comparing the standard NFPA 68 (P_cra ≤ 0.075 MPa, 0.1 m³ ≤ V ≤ 10,000 m³) for safety design of explosion venting devices, the extended implementation scheme with a venting duct was assessed, implying that the calculation results from NFPA 68 were relatively stable in over-scope (P_cra > 0.075 MPa, V < 0.1 m³) measurement. In future industrial productions, the design of high-pressure hydrogen venting is suggested, leaving sufficient safety margin when referring to the result.     

对实质蕴涵若干问题的思考

以实质蕴涵和逻辑蕴涵为对象,通过对郁慕镛教授和袁正校教授的观点进行比较,对逻辑学里的一个非常重要的概念——蕴涵进行了分析和讨论,澄清关于实质蕴涵和逻辑蕴涵的若干误解。     

机加工用量选择专家系统

将机加工用量参数数据库与专家经验知识结合起来,以专家系统的形式进行机加工用量的优化选择,进而达到提高生产效率和降低加工成本的目的。系统包括专家系统模块,机加工工艺模块及其他功能模块(包括设备维护、车间维护、数据管理、系统管理和帮助模块等)。     

Condiciones suficientes para la existencia de solucion optima en un programa semi-infinito

The boundness of the feasible set of a Semi-infinite Programming Problem guarantees, in many cases, the existence of an optimum point. Therefore we study such property in connection with the solution-set of a system of infinitely many constraints. Later on we give existence-theorems for an optimum point, involving the objective function in different ways such as: the generalized Lagrange-function; a specific cone of directions; a special dual problem; and, certain infinite systems associated to the problem.

     

城市燃气管道喷射火事故后果分析

高压下的城市燃气如果泄露，气体在裂口处被点燃则形成喷射火，对管道周围人员和财产安全造成极大威胁。本文运用喷射火焰对目标的入射热辐射强度计算模型，给出了火灾伤害半径和伤害面积，进而根据城市街区平均人员密度和平均财产密度确定喷射火事故造成的人员伤亡数量和财产损失程度，为城市燃气管道风险评价提供重要的依据。