An evaluation system of the setting up of predictive maintenance programmes

Predictive Maintenance can provide an increase in safety, quality and availability in industrial plants. However, the setting up of a Predictive Maintenance Programme is a strategic decision that until now has lacked analysis of questions related to its setting up, management and control. In this paper, an evaluation system is proposed that carries out the decision making in relation to the feasibility of the setting up. The evaluation system uses a combination of tools belonging to operational research such as: Analytic Hierarchy Process, decision rules and Bayesian tools. This system is a help tool available to the managers of Predictive Maintenance Programmes which can both increase the number of Predictive Maintenance Programmes set up and avoid the failure of these programmes. The Evaluation System has been tested in a petrochemical plant and in a food industry.     

A new method to cope with decision makers' uncertainty in the equipment selection process

One of the main problems faced while configuring or reconfiguring manufacturing systems is to rank alternative designs taking into account all the different aspects involved (both tangible and intangible). For this purpose the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a well-known decision making support method that addresses this problem. A major drawback of AHP is that uncertainty in the judgments of the decision makers and the resulting impact on the ranking is not considered. In real situations, however, judgments based on perceived future scenarios are almost always uncertain. To solve this problem in this paper we present the first complete probabilistic extension to the AHP method. The new method provides the decision maker not only with information on the ranking of the alternatives but also the probability that the ranking remains stable even in presence of uncertainty in the judgements. We verified the validity of the new method in a real application developed for the Ferrari racing team.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF STRESS-INDUCED SECONDARY FLOWS WITH HYBRID FINITE ANALYTIC METHOD

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超声变幅杆解析法设计的可靠性研究

本文提出了用有限元法验证变幅杆解析法设计的可靠性，对三种类型的变幅杆先作解析法设计；然后利用有限元分析软件ANSYS进行模态分析，确定了变幅杆的固有频率，计算了固有频率与工作频率之间的相对误差，以此来评价解析法设计的可靠性；并分析了影响解析法设计可靠性的两个基本因素。     

A multi-criterion interaction-oriented model with proportional rule for designing supply chain networks

Supply chain management has offered a way to improve the industrial environment becomes more competitive. While, the commonly seen methodologies may be effective in solving the production–distribution problem only from supplier- or customer-oriented consideration, those cannot present the interactive relationship between upstream and downstream enterprises. In the competitive semiconductor industry environment, considering the viewpoints of the supplier and consumer simultaneously is particularly required, because multiple manufacturing and demanding steps are performed at separate situations, concurrently. In this paper, we propose an interaction-oriented approach, which bases on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) methodology and proportional rule, to solve the semiconductor distribution problem with multiple quantitative and qualitative criteria. The developed approach gives an expected satisfaction for the all participators of the whole chain while the cooperative information is shared perfectly and effectively. Analysis results demonstrate the proposed methodology is efficient and effective through a real world case study.     

A method for the efficient prioritization of infrastructure renewal projects

The infrastructure renewal program at MIT consists of a large number of projects with an estimated budget that could approach $1 billion. Infrastructure renewal at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is the process of evaluating and investing in the maintenance of facility systems and basic structure to preserve existing campus buildings. The selection and prioritization of projects must be addressed with a systematic method for the optimal allocation of funds and other resources. This paper presents a case study of a prioritization method utilizing multi-attribute utility theory. This method was developed at MIT's Department of Nuclear Engineering and was deployed by the Department of Facilities after appropriate modifications were implemented to address the idiosyncrasies of infrastructure renewal projects and the competing criteria and constraints that influence the judgment of the decision-makers. Such criteria include minimization of risk, optimization of economic impact, and coordination with academic policies, programs, and operations of the Institute. A brief overview of the method is presented, as well as the results of its application to the prioritization of infrastructure renewal projects. Results of workshops held at MIT with the participation of stakeholders demonstrate the feasibility of the prioritization method and the usefulness of this approach.     

Best analytic approximation of rational functions of degree 2: Symmetrization of formulae of N. J. Young

Formulae, explicitly symmetric in the roots of the denominator, are derived for the best approximation to a rational function of degree 2 by an analytic function and by a function with at most one pole.     

变形体温度场和位移场的计算

本文用热源法对简单热传导问题进行了解析解的计算，并应用PDE工具箱求解热传导偏微分方程得到数值解。通过两种温度场的计算结果求出相应的位移场结果，比较可知MATLAB中PDE工具箱对难以用解析法求解的热传导问题有一定的指导作用。     

Use of ANP weighted crisp and fuzzy QFD for product development

Quality Function Deployment (QFD) is a popular planning method often used to transform customer demands/requirements into the technical characteristics of a new or improved product or service. In order to better capture (and represent) the multifarious relationships between customer requirements and technical characteristics, and the relative weights among customer requirements, in this study a hybrid analytic network process (ANP)-weighted fuzzy methodology is proposed. The goal is to synthesize renowned capabilities of ANP and fuzzy logic to better rank technical characteristics of a product (or a service) while implementing QFD. To demonstrate the viability of the proposed methodology a real-world scenario, where a new equipment to squeeze the polyethylene pipes to stop the gas flow without damaging the pipes, is developed. The ranking of technical characteristics of the product is calculated using both crisp and fuzzy weights for illustration and comparison purposes.     

基于模糊理论的无线网络切换评估模型

异构无线网络环境下,智能切换关键要素是提供有保障质量和连接性的服务。针对传统基于接收信号强度的切换判决,在减少不必要切换、呼叫掉线、呼叫阻塞和切换阻碍等方面存在的缺陷,提出切换评估模型。切换判决前,在终端收集网络、用户信息;基于四种通信类型的通信需求,确定网络QoS参数权重值;使用模糊分析方法进行参数量化,将数值并行输入到模糊逻辑器,得到切换评估值,从而得到切换与否的判决。仿真结果显示提出的模型在减少不必要切换、呼叫掉线有较好的表现,能更好地保证连接性和服务质量,从而达到更高的用户满意水平。