Hydrogen supply scenarios for a climate neutral energy system in Germany

A climate neutral energy system in Germany will most likely require green hydrogen. Two important factors, that determine whether the hydrogen will be imported or produced locally from renewable energy are still uncertain though - the import price for green hydrogen and the upper limit for photovoltaic installations. To investigate the impact of these two factors, the authors calculate cost optimized climate neutral energy systems while varying the import price from 1.25 €/kg to 5 €/kg with unlimited import volume and the photovoltaic limit from 300 GW to unlimited. In all scenarios, hydrogen plays a significant role. At a medium import price of 3.75 €/kg and photovoltaic limits of 300–900 GW the hydrogen supply is around 1200 to 1300 TWh with import shares varying from 60 to 85%. In most scenarios the electrolysis profile is highly correlated with the photovoltaic power, which leads to full load hours of 1870 h–2770 h.     

Traditional organizations and crisis management in transition—Organizational perspectives on new dynamics of independent civil engagement

Digitalization and the trend towards more short‐term and project‐oriented social engagement have had a direct impact on traditional crisis management. This societal change has supported the evolution of new types of volunteers who use low‐threshold potentials to organize and maintain support independently. Traditional institutions like the German Red Cross are challenged to deal with these rapid changes regarding their own organizational culture in relation to the new phenomenon of so‐called unaffiliated volunteers. This paper investigates how unaffiliated volunteers influence and change the organizational culture of German disaster management by analysing and reflecting organizational adaptation processes in the aftermath of the German floods in 2013, the storm events in the west of Germany in 2014 and the refugee relief mission in 2015–2016. Therefore, semi‐structured interviews with experts of the German Red Cross were held to analyse their reactions towards unaffiliated Volunteers during the Floods in 2013 and the refugee relief missions, and further focus group interviews were conducted to validate the extracted results. Findings suggest that among professionals and leading entities in the German Red Cross, a process of rethinking has emerged, recognizing the importance and necessity to open up organizational structures for the collaboration and coordination of unaffiliated volunteers.     

Chemical and Isotopic Tracer Evaluation of Water Mixing and Evaporation in a Dammed Texas River During Drought

The interaction between drought and river regulation is monitored to better understand river flow mixing, evaporation and surface‐groundwater exchange in changing regional climates and in increasingly regulated waterways. This study compared Brazos River stable isotope (δ¹⁸O and δD) and electrical conductivity values with reservoir, creek and aquifer samples in the Brazos watershed, the largest watershed in Texas. The combination of tributaries, rainfall and the Brazos River Alluvium Aquifer, on the one hand, and the Lake Whitney reservoir, on the other hand, represent endmembers of dilute run‐off water and evaporated saline water, respectively. A simple isotope mixing model that uses monthly river discharge, Lake Whitney discharge, historical monthly precipitation δ¹⁸O and pan evaporation accurately reconstructs river δ¹⁸O (±0.5‰ on average). Data and isotope balance modelling support continued evaporation of ¹⁸O‐enriched Lake Whitney water as it flows downstream, although the most evaporation took place in Lake Whitney. The difference between river and precipitation δ¹⁸O, or Δ¹⁸O_RIV‐_PPT, here a measurement of degree of evaporation, ranged from ?0.1‰ for a small creek, to 1.7‰ for the Brazos River, to at least 2.7‰ in Lake Whitney. This study indicates that drought in regulated rivers may enhance reservoir discharge dominance in river flows during peak drought conditions when combined run‐off and baseflow dominance would be expected in a similar undammed river. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

我国高职教育借鉴德国职业教育模式的问题与改善

德国职业教育模式在我国发展和普及已经近30年了,为我国加快发展现代职业教育提供了借鉴。简析了德国职业教育模式在中国的发展现状,并指出了在实施中遇到的问题,提出了相关的解决方法和改善办法。     

THE ESTIMATION AND PREDICTION OF SUBSET BILINEAR TIME SERIES MODELS WITH APPLICATIONS

Abstract. In this paper we define subset bilinear time series models, and then describe an algorithm for the estimation of these models. It is also pointed out that for this class of non-linear time series models, it is possible to obtain optimal several step predictors. The estimation technique of these models is illustrated with respect to three time series, and the optimal several steps ahead forecasts of these time series models are calculated. A comparison of these forecasts is made with the forecasts obtained by the best linear autoregressive and threshold autoregressive models. The residuals obtained from the models are tested for independence and Gaussianity using higher order moments.     

Aggregation arrestant pheromone of the German cockroach,Blattella germanica (L.) (Dictyoptera: Blattellidae): Isolation and structure elucidation of blattellastanoside-A and -B

The aggregation pheromone of the German cockroach,Blattella germanica, consists of attractant and arrestant, which can be detected by olfactometer and choice-chamber assay, respectively. Both were extracted from the frass-contaminated filter paper being used as a shelter. They were separated by solvent partition withn-butanol and water. The arrestant from then-butanol phase was purified by open column chromatography and then successive HPLC isolated two major arrestant components. Spectral evidence from SI-MS, HR-EI-MS, and NMR experiments with pulse techniques provided possible structures as 1-(6-chloro-4,5-epoxy-5-stigmast-3-yl)--d-glucopyranoside and 1-(6-chloro-5-hydroxy-5-stigmast-3-yl)--d-glu-copyranoside, denoted as blattellastanoside-A and blattellastanoside-B, respectively. They represented arrestant activity as median effective doses (ED₅₀) at 0.044 (A) and 3.2 (B) nmol on 1.0 cm² of Whatman No. 1 filter paper.     

德国双元制职业培训及其启示

分析阐述了德国双元制职业培训体系,总结出德国职业教育保证职业教育校企合作实施,行业协会介入,企业积极参与,目标设立、课程实施、结果考核三权分立的几大特点,以期给我国的高职教育改革带来一定的启示和借鉴。     

探索德国FH贯穿教学全过程应用型实验教学模式

针对培养具有国际化背景下高层次应用型人才的办学定位,分析了德国应用科学大学对工程技术专业的应用性人才的培养模式、实验课程设置、实践教学的过程控制,探索了工程技术专业课教学实践的教学改革和实践教学改革模式,提出了以培养学生的应用能力程序设计为目地的应用创新能力培养模式的一些构想。     

德语交际教学法的课堂教学行为设计

在现代德语教学中,教师越来越重视交际教学法的应用。但是在具体课堂教学行为的设计上,却还是处在初级探索阶段,存在不少问题。为此,通过对交际教学法的课堂教学行为设计进行实例分析,以期提高中国学生的德语交流能力,从而为跨文化交流做出贡献,也为他们今后的出国交流和深造打下良好的基础。     

一种德州扑克的牌力评估方法

德州扑克是机器博弈领域中一种很好的研究对象,与国际象棋、西洋棋等不同,其涉及了诸如不完整信息抽象与处理、多智能体竞争、风险评估与管理、对手建模等多方面的问题研究。其中,不完备信息抽象与处理是其他问题研究的基础,抽象与处理信息就是要对当前牌局进行评估以供后续工作使用。针对牌局信息不完整的情况,讨论了一些评估牌力方法,分析了这些方法的利弊,并提出了一种新的牌力评估方法,以提升计算速度,减少资源占用。实验结果表明,新的方法摒弃了查找表,达到了节省空间的目的,同时也具备较快的计算速度。