中原油田岩石可钻性与声波时差关系研究

选取中原油田的大量岩心，采用常规岩石力学测试方法测定了岩石的可钻性、声波测试方法测定了岩石和岩屑声波时差，通过对测得的岩石可钻性级值和声波时差进行回归拟合，得出了中原油田岩石可钻性与声波时差的关系式。现场应用表明，该关系式较好地反映了中原油田地层岩石可钻性与声波时差的关系，可以在优选钻头时作为参考或直接应用。     

基于遗传算法的门限自回归模型在浅层地下水位预测中的应用

提出了建立门限自回归模型的一种简便通用的方法，用遗传算法可同时优化门限值和自回归系数．实例计算的结果说明了其可行性和有效性．该方法在各种工程时序预测中具有广泛的应用价值     

线性时变系统的区间稳定性与鲁棒稳定性

本文应用向量比较定理研究线性时变系统的区间稳定性和具非线性时变摄动的线性时变系统的鲁棒稳定性，所得的新结果包含文献的一些主要结果作为特例，本文的研究方法说明向量比较方法是分析区间稳定性和鲁棒稳定性的一种自然而有力的工具。     

A Search for Hidden Relationships: Data Mining with Genetic Algorithms

This paper presents an algorithm that permits the search for dependencies among sets of data (univariate or multivariate time-series, or cross-sectional observations). The procedure is modeled after genetic theories and Darwinian concepts, such as natural selection and survival of the fittest. It permits the discovery of equations of the data-generating process in symbolic form. The genetic algorithm that is described here uses parts of equations as building blocks to breed ever better formulas. Apart from furnishing a deeper understanding of the dynamics of a process, the method also permits global predictions and forecasts. The algorithm is successfully tested with artificial and with economic time-series and also with cross-sectional data on the performance and salaries of NBA players during the 94–95 season.     

Strategic appraisal of energy models for Mozambique

The needs that an energy supply system must meet are constantly changing, due to technological, social and political reasons. Effective energy planning is a dynamic process that is repeated periodically and adjusts to changing conditions. Energy decision makers and planners are no longer able to rely on inductive decision making since they have to investigate the effect of various decision parameters and possible future changes. To help in this process, models have been developed where estimates of future load growth, candidate power plants, fuels and other key factors can be introduced, from which the planners can evaluate decision parameters and the available alternatives. The paper presents the different methodologies and practices that are used by 11 energy models for energy demand forecasting, supply side management and generation expansion planning, demand side management and integrated resource planning. The paper concludes to the presentation of a strategic appraisal of the examined energy models appropriate for energy planning in Mozambique. Three models are proposed for conducting demand forecasting, generation expansion planning and demand side management. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An Interval Fuzzy Multiobjective Watershed Management Model for the Lake Qionghai Watershed, China

Integrated watershed management is required to ensure the reasonable use of resources and reconcile interactions among natural and human systems. In the present study, an interval fuzzy multiobjective programming (IFMOP) method was used to solve an integrated watershed management problem. Based on system analysis, an IFMOP model suitable for a lake watershed system {IFMOPLWS} was developed and applied to the Lake Qionghai watershed in China. Scenario analysis and an interactive approach were used in the solution process. In this manner, various system components were incorporated into one framework for holistic consideration and optimization. Integrality and uncertainty, as well as the multiobjective and dynamic characteristics of the watershed system, were well addressed. Using two scenarios, two planning schemes were generated. Agriculture, tourism, macroeconomics, cropland use, water supply, forest coverage, soil erosion, and water pollution were fully interpreted and compared to identify a preferable planning alternative for local agencies. This study showed that the IFMOPLWS is a powerful tool for integrated watershed management planning and can provide a solid base for sustainable watershed management.     

非方程灰色系统方法在长期水文预报中的应用初探

基于水文过程的复杂性和影响因子信息收集不完善这一基本事实，本文将流域水文系统视为含有灰元和灰信息的灰色系统，并初步实践了非方程灰色预报方法在长期水文预报中的应用。方法在一定意义上脱离了传统的以方程为中心的预报模式，它既考虑预报因子对预报量的不同影响程度，又不过分强调预报量与预报因子的具体相关函数形式，为长期水文预报提供了一种新思路。文中列出了实例，效果令人满意。     

压水堆硼稀释事故的计算

一、概述核电厂压水堆的初始过剩反应性是通过控制捧、固体可燃毒物和溶解在主回路冷却剂中的硼酸等三种方式联合控制的。随着反应堆的燃耗和裂变毒物的积累,堆的过剩反应性不断减少,需要通过化容系统,控制硼酸的浓度来进行补偿。如果化容系统发生故障或操作员误操作,就会给回路注入无硼或低于规定浓度的补给水,给反应堆引入正反应性,造成硼稀释事故。按核安全法规的要求,应对换料、冷停堆、热停堆和启动等工况进行计算,并要求在这些     

Forecasting of Turkey's net electricity energy consumption on sectoral bases

In this study forecast of Turkey's net electricity energy consumption on sectoral basis until 2020 is explored. Artificial neural networks (ANN) is preferred as forecasting tool. The reasons behind choosing ANN are the ability of ANN to forecast future values of more than one variable at the same time and to model the nonlinear relation in the data structure. Founded forecast results by ANN are compared with official forecasts.     

模拟退火算法用于蒸汽吞吐井生产能力的预测

模拟退火算法是一种利用统计力学观点求解优化问题全局最优解的方法,是目前解决优化问题的一种比较先进的方法。本文应用模拟退火算法对蒸汽吞吐注采参数进行优化设计,并确定出了6个吞吐周期的最优周期产油量和周期注蒸汽量,较实际周期产油量和实际周期注汽量均有明显增加。将各周期的优化累积产油量和优化累积注汽量画在累积产油量与累积注汽量的双对数坐标中,得出累积注汽量和累积采油量关系曲线(简称注采关系曲线)。将该注采关系曲线外推估算了该井未来周期的累积产油量和累积注汽量,从而达到对蒸汽吞吐井生产能力的预测。