| 证据理论在碾压混凝土坝安全综合评价中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李波,梁俊,周武. 证据理论在碾压混凝土坝安全综合评价中的应用[J]. 人民长江, 2011, 42(13): 68-71 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李波 梁俊 周武 |
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| 作者单位： | 长江科学院工程安全与灾害防治研究所,湖北武汉430010;水利部水工程安全与病害防治工程技术研究中心,湖北武汉430010 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑计划(2008BAB29B06); 水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(200901058) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对碾压混凝土坝安全性态综合评价中评价指标、指标权重及评价等级的确定所存在的不确定性，将证据理论应用到碾压混凝土坝安全性态综合评价中，以解决评价过程中的不确定性问题。提出了证据理论在碾压混凝土坝安全评价中的计算步骤，建立了碾压混凝土坝安全评价指标体系。通过实例计算，验证了该方法是有效可行的，为碾压混凝土坝安全性态综合评价提供了新的思路。
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| 关 键 词： | 证据理论 安全性态 综合评价 碾压混凝土坝 |
Application of evidence theory in comprehensive safety evaluation of roller compacted concrete dam |
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| LI Bo,LIANG Jun,ZHOU Wu. Application of evidence theory in comprehensive safety evaluation of roller compacted concrete dam[J]. Yangtze River, 2011, 42(13): 68-71 |
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| Authors: | LI Bo LIANG Jun ZHOU Wu |
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| Affiliation: | LI Bo1,2,LIANG Jun1,ZHOU Wu1,2(1.Department of Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention,Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute,Wuhan 430010,China,2.Research Center on Water Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention of MWR,China) |
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| Abstract: | In view of the uncertainty of evaluation index,weight and grade in comprehensive safety evaluation of roller compacted concrete dam,the evidence theory is applied to the comprehensive safety evaluation of roller compacted concrete dam,which solves the uncertainty problem in the process of the evaluation.The calculation steps of evidence theory are put forward,and the evaluation index system of the dam safety is established.The calculation results show that the presented method is effective,which provides a ... |
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| Keywords: | evidence theory safety behavior comprehensive evaluation roller compacted concrete dam |
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