| 2010世博会对上海文化产业影响力的定量评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 贾跃,梁矗,姚莹燕,曹晨.2010世博会对上海文化产业影响力的定量评估[J].计算机工程,2012,38(5):73-75. |
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| 作者姓名： | 贾跃 梁矗 姚莹燕 曹晨 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连东软信息学院,辽宁大连,116023 |
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| 摘 要： | 对上海文化产业发展水平进行量化处理，采用灰色理论预测得到不举办世博会的情况下上海文化发展水平曲线，将其与举办世博会情况下的文化发展曲线进行比较，由此定量评估2010世博会对上海文化产业发展的影响力，并利用GM(1,1)模型对后世博时期的余波效应进行评估。
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| 关 键 词： | 2010世博会 文化产业发展水平 定量评估 预测模型 评估模型 余波 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-07-18 |
Quantitative Assessment on Influence of Expo 2010 on Shanghai Culture Industry |
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| JIA Yue
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LIANG Chu
,
YAO Ying-yan
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CAO Chen.Quantitative Assessment on Influence of Expo 2010 on Shanghai Culture Industry[J].Computer Engineering,2012,38(5):73-75. |
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| Authors: | JIA Yue LIANG Chu YAO Ying-yan CAO Chen |
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| Affiliation: | (Department of Computer Science and Technology,Dalian Neusoft Institute of Information,Dalian 116023,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper quantifies the developing level of Shanghai cultural Industry,uses gray theory to predict the culture developing situation in such a case that Expo is not hold in Shanghai.The prediction curve is compared with the curve got under the situation of holding Shanghai Expo so as to quantitatively evaluate the influence on Shanghai cultural industry development.And GM(1,1) model is applied to assess aftereffect for the later period of Expo. |
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| Keywords: | Expo 2010 developing level of culture industry quantitative assessment prediction model assessment model aftereffect |
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