综合能源系统主动配电网常规负荷预测模型

为实现高精度、高效率的电力负荷预测,构建一种综合能源系统中主动配电网常规负荷预测模型.首先建立综合能源等效模型,分析不可控负荷、可控负荷、可调负荷的特性;采用主动式负荷特性分析方法与储能特征分析方法分析主动配电网的友好负荷与储能特性,在设计目标函数和约束条件的基础上实现对综合能源系统中主动配电网常规负荷预测模型的求解....

Conventional load forecasting model for active distribution network of integrated energy system

In order to achieve high accuracy and high efficiency of power load forecasting,a conventional load forecasting model of active distribution network in integrated energy system is constructed.Firstly,an integrated energy equivalent model is established to analyze the characteristics of uncontrollable load,controllable load and adjustable load.The friendly load and energy storage characteristics of active distribution network are analyzed by using active load characteristic analysis method and energy storage characteristic analysis method.On the basis of designing objective function and constraint conditions,the conventional load forecasting model of active distribution network in integrated energy system is solved.The experimental results show that the model has high prediction performance and low application cost,it can accurately predict the normal load of active distribution network in integrated energy system.