| 上货航中美航线货运量的分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 张丽,曹婧.上货航中美航线货运量的分析与预测[J].上海工程技术大学学报,2007,21(4):377-380. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张丽 曹婧 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海工程技术大学航空运输学院,上海,201620;上海国际货运航空有限公司,上海,200231 |
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| 摘 要： | 收集了上海国际货运航空有限公司(以下简称\"上货航\")中关航线开通以来货运量的数据资料,结合中美航线的政策和市场环境对其变化和波动进行了分析和解读,并且基于已有数据,对上货航中关航线的货运量作模型构建,建立了拟合度较高的ARIMA模型,以作为上货航以后经营该条航线的决策依据和预测工具.
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| 关 键 词： | 中关航线 中美航空协议 业务量分析 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-444X（2007）04-0377-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-07-22 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年7月22日 |
Analysis and Forecast of Cargo Quantity on Sino-US Routes for Shanghai Airlines Cargo International Company |
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| ZHANG Li,CAO Jing.Analysis and Forecast of Cargo Quantity on Sino-US Routes for Shanghai Airlines Cargo International Company[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Engineering Science,2007,21(4):377-380. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Li CAO Jing |
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| Abstract: | All the statistical data of cargo have been collected since the opening of Sino-US route of Shanghai Airlines Cargo International Company.Based on the Sino-US route policy and market environment,the changes and fluctuations were analysed.A proper ARIMA model was established for a good fitting established as the basis for decision-making and forecasting tools. |
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| Keywords: | Sino-US route the agreement of Sino-US air service development analysis of business amount forecast |
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