Impacts of climate change on hydrology and water quality: Future proofing management strategies in the Lake Simcoe watershed,Canada |
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| Authors: | J. Crossman M.N. Futter S.K. Oni P.G. Whitehead L. Jin D. Butterfield H.M. Baulch P.J. Dillon |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Macronutrient Cycles Directorate, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK;2. Chemistry Department, Trent University, West Bank Drive, Peterborough, Ontario, Canada;3. Department of Aquatic Science and Assessment, Swedish University of Agricultural Science, SE 750 07 Uppsala, Sweden;4. Environmental and Life Sciences Graduate Program, Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario, Canada;5. Department of Geology, State University of New York at Cortland, Cortland, NY 13045, USA;6. Enmosys, PO Box 2800, Glen Ellyn, IL 60138, USA;g Chemistry Department, Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario, Canada;h School of Environment and Sustainability and Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, 11 Innovation Blvd, Saskatoon, Canada SK S7N 3H5 |
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| Abstract: | The impacts of climate change on hydrology and water quality of the Black River, a tributary of Lake Simcoe, Canada, were assessed for the period 2001–2100, by integrating two models, HBV and INCA-P, and using statistically downscaled data from the Global Circulation Model CGCM3 for two IPCC scenarios (A1b and A2). The effectiveness of catchment management strategies was assessed across the 21st century by simulating controls on sewage treatment works and fertiliser applications, and implementing buffer strips and bank erosion controls. |
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| Keywords: | Climate change Hydrology Water quality Management Phosphorus |
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