复杂断块油田的最终探明储量预测

复杂断块油田在滚动开发中存在预测最终探明储量的问题。以JS油区为例，总结了复杂断块油田储量变化特征及其储量增长的特点，提出了最终探明储量的内涵，认为最终探明储量是已探明储量、已控制储量中可能升级的探明储量、预测滚动储量中可能升级的探明储量三者之和。建立了以圈闭法、经验外推法、油田规模序列法为预测手段的复杂断块油田最终探明储量预测方法。应用该方法对ZW油田的最终探明储量进行了预测。图3参7（王忠和摘）

The prediction of final proved reserves in complex fault block oil fields

For the complex fault block oil fields, the prediction of final proved reserves is a big problem in petroleum progressive development. This article taking JS oil field as an example summed up the features of reserve change and reserve increase of complex fault block oil fields, put forward the connotation of the final proved reserves and reached a conclusion that final proved reserves equal to the sum of the proved reserves, that part of the possible reserves, which can become proved ones, and that part of probable reserves, which maybe proved ones. A technique for predicting final proven reserves in complex fault block oilfields has been developed, which takes the trap, experience extrapolation and oilfields scale array as the dominant prediction methods. The method has been used for predicting the final proved reserves of ZW oil field.