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基于CAS理论的配电网系统多主体交互模型与动态演化研究
引用本文:刘金朋,吴澜,刘福炎,杨小勇,俞敏,郝洪志.基于CAS理论的配电网系统多主体交互模型与动态演化研究[J].陕西电力,2022,0(5):33-39.
作者姓名:刘金朋  吴澜  刘福炎  杨小勇  俞敏  郝洪志
作者单位:(1.华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京 102206;2.国网浙江经济技术研究院,浙江杭州 310020;3.浙江鼎晟工程项目管理有限公司,浙江金华 321017)
摘    要:引入复杂适应系统(CAS)理论,提出一种研究配电网系统多主体交互机理及动态演化的新思路。阐述复杂适应系统理论的核心理念和分析框架,解析配电网系统多主体构成及复杂适应特性;在微观层面构建基于刺激-反应的单一主体交互模型,在宏观层面构建基于物理-信息-经济耦合的多主体交互模型,挖掘提炼主体与环境、多主体之间的互动机理;进一步揭示配电网复杂适应系统分阶段动态演化进程及演化特性,总结系统动态演化高效发展的重要保障,为配电网科学规划、运营优化管理提供理论借鉴与分析参考。

关 键 词:配电网  复杂适应系统  交互模型  演化路径

Multi-agent Interaction Model and Dynamic Evolution of Distribution Network System Based on CAS Theory
LIU Jinpeng,WU Lan,LIU Fuyan,YANG Xiaoyong,YU Min,HAO Hongzhi.Multi-agent Interaction Model and Dynamic Evolution of Distribution Network System Based on CAS Theory[J].Shanxi Electric Power,2022,0(5):33-39.
Authors:LIU Jinpeng  WU Lan  LIU Fuyan  YANG Xiaoyong  YU Min  HAO Hongzhi
Affiliation:(1. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206, China;2. State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Economic and Technology Research Institute, Hangzhou 310020, China;3. Zhejiang Dingsheng Engineering Project Management Co. Ltd,Jinhua 321017, China)
Abstract:A new idea to study the multi-agent interaction mechanism and dynamic evolution of distribution network system is presented by introducing complex adaptive system theory. The core concept and analysis framework of complex adaptive system theory are described, and the multi-agent composition and complex adaptive characteristics of distribution network system are analyzed. A single agent interaction model based on "stimulus-response" is constructed at micro level,and a multi-agent interaction model based on "physics-information-economy" coupling is constructed at macro level. The interaction among the agent, environment and multi-agents is explored and extracted. The phased dynamic evolution process and evolution characteristics of the complex adaptive system of distribution network is further revealed, and the important guarantee of efficient development of system dynamic evolution is summarized,and theoretical and analytical references for the scientific planning and operation optimization management of distribution network are provided.
Keywords:distribution network  complex adaptive system  interaction model  evolution path
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