| 云南干旱时空分布规律初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐文斌.云南干旱时空分布规律初探[J].云南工业大学学报,1990(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐文斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南工学院电力系 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用随机系统的理论和方法对云南干旱进行了研究,初步总结出了干旱序列时空上的分布规律,给出了相应的随机模型,并预报了未来三十年干旱的变化情况。统计结果表明模型具有一定的实用性及有效性,预报值能为云南未来的水资源开发利用提供一定的科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 随机系统 时空分布规律 随机模型 |
Studying on the Distribution laws of Dryness/Wetness in Yunnan |
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| Authors: | Xu Wenbing |
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| Abstract: | This paper study the dryness/wetness in yunnan by applying the theory and method of stochastic hydrology, the distribution laws of the dryness/wetness series in time and space are summarized, and stochastic model is presented correspondingly, which forecasts the variation of the dryness/wetness in future thirty years. The statistic results show that the model is utility and effective, the forecasting series can give a scientific bases for the future developing and utility of water resources in yunnan. |
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| Keywords: | Stochastic system Distribution laws in timo and space Stochastic model |
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