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水库诱发地震危险性定量预测与评估系统开发研究
引用本文:张秋文,张国安,等.水库诱发地震危险性定量预测与评估系统开发研究[J].水电能源科学,2001,19(4):29-32.
作者姓名:张秋文  张国安
作者单位:1. 华中科技大学水电与数字化工程学院,湖北,武汉,430074
2. 中国地震局,地震研究所,湖北,武汉,430071
基金项目:中国地震局"九五"重点项目(95120501,95120503),华中科技大学博士后专项资助基金项目.
摘    要:从理论模型出发,通过系统需求分析,对水利水电工程及其周缘地区诱发地震危险定量预测与评估系统的结构体系及其开发流程进行了分析与研究,在此基础上,完成了诱震危险性概率模型构建子系统,待评工程诱震危险性概率预测与评估子系统及其相应功能模块的开发,并对系统的主要功能进行了分析。

关 键 词:水库诱发地震  地震危险性分析  评估系统  定量预测
文章编号:1000-7709(2001)04-0029-04
修稿时间:2001年11月8日

A System for Reservoir-induced Seismicity Risk Prediction and Assessment
ZHANG Qiu wen,ZHANG Guo an,WANG Cheng,LI An ran.A System for Reservoir-induced Seismicity Risk Prediction and Assessment[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2001,19(4):29-32.
Authors:ZHANG Qiu wen  ZHANG Guo an  WANG Cheng  LI An ran
Affiliation:ZHANG Qiu wen 1 ZHANG Guo an 2 WANG Cheng 1 LI An ran 2
Abstract:The theory and method of reservoir induced earthquake risk prediction and assessment in hydropower project and its neighboring area are briefly introduced. According to the system requirement analysis, the framework and developing flow of the system for reservoir induced earthquake risk prediction and assessment in hydropower project and its neighboring area are discussed. The main functions of the system such as probability model construction based on the data of environmental conditions and their corresponding earthquake activities and induced seismicity risk prediction of the candidate reservoir based on its environmental conditions data are described respectively.
Keywords:reservoir  induced seismicity  earthquake risk analysis  induced earthquake risk probability  hydropower engineering
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