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极小子样高可靠性成败型产品试验的贝叶斯评估方法研究
引用本文:冯蕴雯,冯元生.极小子样高可靠性成败型产品试验的贝叶斯评估方法研究[J].机械科学与技术(西安),1999,18(2):198-200.
作者姓名:冯蕴雯  冯元生
作者单位:西北工业大学
基金项目:国家教委博士学科点科研基金,国防科工委预研项目资助课题
摘    要:首先阐明了极小子样高可靠性成败型产品试验评估的重大意义及通常用贝叶斯法解决该问题时所遇到的困难。在具有相同验前概率值的情况下,研究了不同典型验前概率分布模型对做一次成功试验后所得的验后概率值(可靠度或失败概率)的影响,并提出了一些合理选择模型的建议。

关 键 词:成败型产品  贝叶斯评估  可靠性

Study of Bayes , Estimation for Product Test of Extreme Small Sample High Reliablity Safe or failure Pattern
Feng Yunweng,Feng Yuansheng.Study of Bayes , Estimation for Product Test of Extreme Small Sample High Reliablity Safe or failure Pattern[J].Mechanical Science and Technology,1999,18(2):198-200.
Authors:Feng Yunweng  Feng Yuansheng
Abstract:The importance of Bayes , estimation for extreme small sample,high reliability,safe or failure pattern is explained in this paper,the difficulty in solving these facts is involved.So,to different typical probability distribution model in thd same probability before test,we research the effects of probability value after having one successful test,and some proposals for reasonably selecting the model are presented.
Keywords:Product with only safe or failure pattern  Bayes    estimation  Reliability  
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