基于CBR的电力负荷预测系统的研究与实现

随着电力系统的发展,负荷预测受到广泛重视。但由于它受到大量不确定因素的影响,导致电力负荷预测是一项重要而又非常复杂的工作,预测过程需要考虑多种因素。介绍了CBR的基本原理与方法,在分析相关技术的基础上,建立了一个基于CBR的电力负荷预测系统。实验分析结果表明该方法具有有效性和实用性,也说明了CBR在电力负荷预测系统的应用是提高电力系统生产规划、运行调度与管理水平,实现安全、高效和经济调度的重要技术手段。

Research and Realization of Power Load Forecasting System Based on CBR

With the development of power system,load forecating has received much attention.Electric load is affected by many uncertain factors,so it is an important and complicated work,and needs to consider many factors in forecasting process.The paper introduces the principle and method of CBR and builds a model of power load forecasting system by analyzing the related technologies.Experimental analysis indicates that the method is effective and practical,and that CBR used in load forecasting system is the key technical measure to raise the level of production planning,operation dispatch and management,and to implement the safe and economical dispatch.