基于模糊层次分析的陶瓷艺术品价格预测模型研究

许多陶瓷艺术品在近十几年时间,价格实现了十几倍,甚至是几十倍的高速增长。本文从影响陶瓷艺术品价格的七种因素,包括年代、欣赏性、珍稀度、美观性、知名度、尺寸、造型复杂度)进行分析,通过层次分析法及模糊权重,定义陶瓷艺术品价格指数。通过检验,所得到的陶瓷艺术品价格指数模型误差比较小。这说明表2所给定的陶瓷艺术品价格评价指标符合定价标准,也为其他陶瓷艺术品价值提供有益参考。

Price Forecasting Model for Ceramic Artworks based on Fuzzy AHP

In recent ten years, prices of many ceramic artworks have risen by ten times or even dozens of times. This paper analyses the seven factors influencing the prices of ceramic works, namely time, taste, artistry, aesthetics, popularity, size, and shape. On the basis of the analysis, ceramic artwork price assessment indicators are determined through AHP and fuzzy weight. The test on verified examples shows that the predicted error of the price forecasting model for ceramic artworks is small. The assessment indicator system for prices of ceramic artworks in table 2 meets their pricing standards. It also provides a useful model for predicting the prices of works of other art forms.