| 电力系统超短期负荷预测技术的应用与发展 |
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| 引用本文： | 张怡,张锋.电力系统超短期负荷预测技术的应用与发展[J].浙江电力,2010,29(2):5-8,29. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张怡 张锋 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江大学电气工程学院,杭州,310027;浙江电力职业技术学院,杭州,310015
2. 浙江电力调度通信中心,杭州,310007 |
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| 摘 要： | 从电力系统超短期负荷预测的定义及作用出发,概述超短期负荷预测的特点及方法。按照传统预测方法、现代预测方法及综合预测方法分类,对各种超短期负荷预测方法的原理、应用范围、改进及发展方向进行了综述。指出各类超短期负荷预测方法都有特定的适用场合,在实际应用时要充分考虑预测系统的实际运行特点,才能最大限度地发挥各类方法的优势。
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| 关 键 词： | 超短期负荷预测 传统预测 现代预测 综合预测 |
A Survey on Ultra-short Term Power Load Forecasting Method |
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| ZHANG Yi,ZHANG Feng.A Survey on Ultra-short Term Power Load Forecasting Method[J].Zhejiang Electric Power,2010,29(2):5-8,29. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Yi ZHANG Feng |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Yi1,2,ZHANG Feng3(1.College of Electrical Engineering,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China,2.Professional & Technological College of Zhejiang Electric Power,Hangzhou 310015,3.Zhejiang Electric Power Dispatching and Communication Center,Hangzhou 310007,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the definition and function of ultra-short term power load forecasting method,this paper introduces the characteristics and makes a comprehensive survey on available algorithms of ultra-short term forecasting method.These algorithms are classified into three different kinds including:traditional forecasting method,modern forecasting method and combined forecasting method.The algorithm's principle,area of application and improved approach are discussed in detail.In the end,this paper states that eve... |
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| Keywords: | ultra-short term load forecasting traditional forecasting method modern forecasting method combined forecasting method |
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