| 基于优化组合的建筑事故趋势预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 索丰平,王苏芳. 基于优化组合的建筑事故趋势预测研究[J]. 山西建筑, 2007, 33(19): 200-201 |
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| 作者姓名： | 索丰平 王苏芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 河北工程大学土木工程学院,河北 邯郸 056038
2. 河北工程大学,河北 邯郸 056038 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了优化组合模型的建立步骤,根据某施工企业近八年来百万工时事故次数,在时间序列预测模型和灰色预测模型的基础上,建立了优化组合模型,并把优化组合模型计算结果和单个模型计算结果进行了比较,为建筑事故安全预测提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 优化组合模型 建筑施工企业 事故预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-6825（2007）19-0200-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-01-26 |
Prediction and application study of architecture accidents based on |
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| SUO Feng-ping,WANG Su-fang. Prediction and application study of architecture accidents based on[J]. Shanxi Architecture, 2007, 33(19): 200-201 |
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| Authors: | SUO Feng-ping WANG Su-fang |
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| Affiliation: | SUO Feng-ping WANG Su-fang |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces optimization combination forecast model building process above all.According to vmillion man-hour accident time of some architecture construction enterprise based on time-series forecast model and grey forecast model.Tien optimization comination model calculation-value is compared with single model calculation-value.This method provides the base for scientific forecasting. |
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| Keywords: | optimization combination model architecture construction enterprise accident forecast |
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