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烃类物质自燃点的QSPR预测研究
引用本文:朱红亚,李晶晶,时静洁. 烃类物质自燃点的QSPR预测研究[J]. 消防科学与技术, 2021, 40(3): 303-307
作者姓名:朱红亚  李晶晶  时静洁
作者单位:1. 应急管理部天津消防研究所,天津300381;2. 常州大学环境与安全工程学院,江苏常州213164
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC0806600);应急管理部天津消防研究所基科费项目(2019SJ05);江苏省高等学校自然科学研究面上项目(19KJB620002)。
摘    要:应用定量构效关系(QSPR)方法对烃类物质的自燃点开展了预测研究.选取国际电工委员会数据库中的39种烃类物质作为样本集,随机选择34种作为训练集,5种作为测试集.采用遗传算法(GA)对变量进行筛选,结合线性和非线性方法分别建立多元线性回归(MLR)模型和支持向量机(SVM)模型,理论预测得到了5种烃类物质的自燃点.结果...

关 键 词:烃类物质  自燃点预测  QSPR

Study on QSPR prediction of auto-ignition temperature of hydrocarbons
ZHU Hong-ya,LI Jing-jing,SHI Jing-jie. Study on QSPR prediction of auto-ignition temperature of hydrocarbons[J]. Fire Science and Technology, 2021, 40(3): 303-307
Authors:ZHU Hong-ya  LI Jing-jing  SHI Jing-jie
Affiliation:1.Tianjin Fire Science and Technology Research Institute of MEM, Tianjin 300381,China; 2. School of Environmental and Safety Engineering, Changzhou University,Jiangsu Changzhou 213164, China
Abstract:The auto-ignition temperature(AIT)were predicted by Quantitative Structure-Pharmacokinetics Relationship(QSPR).Thirty-nine kinds of hydrocarbons in the International Electrotechnical Commission(IEC)database were selected as sample sets,34 kinds were randomly selected as training sets and 5 kinds as test sets.Genetic algorithm(GA)was used to screen variables,multiple linear regression(MLR)model and support vector machine(SVM)model were established by combining linear and nonlinear methods respectively,and the spontaneous ignition points of 5 hydrocarbon substances were predicted theoretically.Finally,the performance and application fields of the model were evaluated.The results showed that the two prediction models are stable and have strong prediction ability and generalization performance.The theoretical predicted values are consistent with the experimental values,and the predicted results of GA-SVM model are closer to the experimental values than GA-MLR model,which indicates that the relationship between auto-ignition temperature and its molecular structure is more nonlinear.
Keywords:hydrocarbon substances  prediction of auto-ignition temperature  QSPR
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