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黄水沟水文站月水量预报方案的编制
引用本文:赵龙,单秀琴,李勇,达伟. 黄水沟水文站月水量预报方案的编制[J]. 广东水利电力职业技术学院学报, 2009, 7(3)
作者姓名:赵龙  单秀琴  李勇  达伟
作者单位:巴州水文水资源勘测局,新疆库尔勒,841000;巴州水文水资源勘测局,新疆库尔勒,841000;巴州水文水资源勘测局,新疆库尔勒,841000;巴州水文水资源勘测局,新疆库尔勒,841000
摘    要:黄水沟位于新疆巴音郭楞蒙古自治州和静县境内,发源于中天山的天格尔山南坡,是一条雨雪混合补给性河流。黄水沟水文站(位于山口处)以上集水面积4311km2,流域面上的降水经过10余条一级支流、10余条二级支流及若干条三级支流的汇集调蓄,自北向南汇集于山口。山口以上河段至今没有修建控制型水利工程。利用黄水沟站49年的水文资料,运用数理统计方法,分析月水量要素自身的统计规律或月水量要素与其他有关因子之间的统计关系,进行黄水沟月水量的预报方案编制,提高未来可能来水量的预报精度,为当地防洪抗旱、水量调度与管理部门在进行河流(流域)水资源统一规划与可持续利用时提供比较准确的未来可能来水量预报。

关 键 词:水文站  预报方案  月水量  数理统计

Huangshui Ditch Hydrometric Station Programming For Monthly Water Volume Forecast Scheme
ZHAO Long,SHAN Xiu-qin,LI Yong,DA Wei. Huangshui Ditch Hydrometric Station Programming For Monthly Water Volume Forecast Scheme[J]. Journal of Guangdong Technical College of Water Resources and Electric Engineering, 2009, 7(3)
Authors:ZHAO Long  SHAN Xiu-qin  LI Yong  DA Wei
Affiliation:ZHAO Long; SHAN Xiu-qin; LI Yong; DA Wei(Bazhou Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau; Ku'erle 841000; Xinjiang; China);
Abstract:Huangshui Ditch is located in between the Bayingolin Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture of Xinjiang and Hejing County,originated from the southern slope of Nagel in the Middle of Tianshan Mountain.It is a river supplied by the mixture of rain and snow.Huangshui Ditch Hydrometric Station(located in the mouth of mountain),with catchments area over 4311 km2,after the storage pooling of more than 10 first-graded tributaries,10 secondary tributaries and several three-tier tributaries,the rainfall above surface is p...
Keywords:Hydrometric Station  Forecast Scheme  Monthly Water Volume  Mathematical statistics
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