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A Critical Guide to Empirical Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics: Methodologies,Procedures, and Open Problems
Authors:Giorgio Fagiolo  Alessio Moneta  Paul Windrum
Affiliation:(1) Laboratory of Economics and Management, Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies, Piazza Martiri della Libertà 33, Pisa, 56127, Italy;(2) Evolutionary Economics Group, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Jena, Germany;(3) Manchester Metropolitan University Business School, Manchester, UK
Abstract:This paper addresses the methodological problems of empirical validation in agent-based (AB) models in economics and how these are currently being tackled. We first identify a set of issues that are common to all modelers engaged in empirical validation. We then propose a novel taxonomy, which captures the relevant dimensions along which AB economics models differ. We argue that these dimensions affect the way in which empirical validation is carried out by AB modelers and we critically discuss the main alternative approaches to empirical validation being developed in AB economics. We conclude by focusing on a set of (as yet) unresolved issues for empirical validation that require future research.
Keywords:Methodology  Agent-based computational economics  Simulation models  Empirical validation  Calibration  History-friendly modeling
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