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基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的磨心坡深部煤层厚度预测
引用本文:毛飞,易发成,赵宁德,余能俊. 基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的磨心坡深部煤层厚度预测[J]. 矿业快报, 2008, 24(2): 12-14,38
作者姓名:毛飞  易发成  赵宁德  余能俊
作者单位:1. 西南科技大学环境与资源学院;重庆能源集团天府矿业
2. 西南科技大学环境与资源学院
3. 重庆能源集团天府矿业
摘    要:利用灰色GM(1,1)模型,结合生产资料对磨心坡深部煤层厚度进行预测.结果表明磨心坡深部煤层厚度随深度增加基本保持平稳,储量稳定.结合钻探资料证实,灰色GM(1,1)模型在预测煤层厚度方面有一定的优势,但由于实际情况的复杂性、模型的单调性,要得到更精确的预测还需要做进一步的研究工作.

关 键 词:煤厚  预测
文章编号:1009-5683(2008)02-0012-03
收稿时间:2007-09-09
修稿时间:2007-09-09

Prediction of Deep Thickness of Coal Seam in Moxinpo Based on Grey GM(1,1)Model
Mao Fei,Yi Facheng,Zhao Ningde,Yu Nengjun. Prediction of Deep Thickness of Coal Seam in Moxinpo Based on Grey GM(1,1)Model[J]. Express Information of Mining Industry, 2008, 24(2): 12-14,38
Authors:Mao Fei  Yi Facheng  Zhao Ningde  Yu Nengjun
Affiliation:Mao Fei~(1,2) Yi Facheng~1 Zhao Ningde~2 Yu Nengjun~2(1.College of Environment , Resource,Southwest University of Science , Technology,2.Tianfu Coal Industry of Chongqing Energy Group)
Abstract:Combining with the production data,grey GM(1,1)model is used to predict deep thickness of coal seam in Moxinpo.The results show that thickness of coal seam keeps steady and reserves keep stable as depth increases.The drilling data indicate that grey GM(1,1)model has certain advantage in prediction of deep thickness of coal seam.To acquire a more accurate prediction,further research work should to be done because of complexity of actual circumstance and monotonicity of the model.
Keywords:GM(1  1)
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