| 随机模型预测潜水位动态变化的方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈锁忠,陶芸,杨旭.随机模型预测潜水位动态变化的方法[J].南京师范大学学报,2002,2(1):75-80. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈锁忠 陶芸 杨旭 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]南京师范大学地理信息科学江苏省重点实验室，南京210097 [2]江苏省地质调查研究院，南京，210018 |
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| 摘 要： | 大气水、地表水和地中水在地球表层不断转化的机理研究一直是水循环和水均衡研究的主要内容．针对地下水资源评价中的关键问题之一——大气水和地下水之间的转化，利用泊松模型讨论了包气带中水分垂直运移的机理以及潜水位动态变化预测方法，并计算了地形坡度很小平原地区的潜水位，以及预测潜水位动态变化，模拟结果与实际监测资料相吻合．
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| 关 键 词： | 潜水位，动态预测模型，方法研究，平原地区 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-1292(2002)01-0075-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年9月26日 |
Method of Using the Random Model to Predict Dynamic Changes of Phreatic Level |
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| Chen Suozhong ,Tao Yun ,Yang Xu.Method of Using the Random Model to Predict Dynamic Changes of Phreatic Level[J].Journal of Nanjing Nor Univ: Eng and Technol,2002,2(1):75-80. |
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| Authors: | Chen Suozhong Tao Yun Yang Xu |
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| Affiliation: | Chen Suozhong 1,Tao Yun 2,Yang Xu 1 |
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| Abstract: | The theoretical study on continuous reciprocal inversion of meteorologic water,surface water and subsurface water on the Earth surface is always the subject for the study on water cycle and water balance.In this paper,considering the issue of groundwater resource evaluation-the inversion between rainfall and groundwater,the authors discuss the vertical water migration mechanism in the aeratedzone and offer a simple method by using the Poisson Random Model to predict the dynamic changes of phreatic level.In addition, the authors calculate the phreatic level and forecast the dynamic changes of phreatic level in plain regions with gentle slope,the simulated result being very identical with the result of monitoring. |
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| Keywords: | phreatic level dynamic predicting model method study plain regions |
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