基于熵权法的广东省核电节能减排效果综合评价研究

以广东省为例分析发展核电以来节能减排的综合效益，通过1993-2010年广东省统计数据，应用熵权法，从能源消耗强度、污染物排放、污染物治理与利用和经济效益四方面对广东省核电节能减排效果进行综合评价。结果表明，1993-2010年期间，广东省核电节能减排综合效果呈上升趋势；单位GDP煤炭和石油消耗总量、火电生产和CO₂排放总量、单位GDP综合能耗呈下降趋势；单位GDP核电和水电生产总量变化幅度不大，但是核电和水电在电力供应中所占比例较小。

Comprehensive Evaluation the Nuclear Power Energy Saving and Emission Reduction of Guangdong Province Based on the Entropy Method

Guangdong province is taken to analyze the comprehensive effect of energy saving and emission reduction since the development of nuclear power. According to the statistic data by Guangdong province from 1993 to 2010, Entropy method should be applied to make a comprehensive evaluation on energy saving and emission reduction effect in terms of four aspects, namely, energy consumption, pollutants emission, pollution control, and economic benefit. The result shows the comprehensive effect of energy saving and emission reduction presents the tendency of increasing in Guangdong province during 1993-2010. Meanwhile, total consumption of coal and petrol per unit of GDP, the total production of thermal power and total emission of CO₂, and comprehensive energy consumption present a tendency of decreasing. The total production of nuclear power and hydropower per unit of GDP varies within a small range, but nuclear power and hydropower account for a small percentage in the power supply.