用于路线设计的小客车速度模型研究

建立高速公路运行速度模型,为运用运行速度设计方法进行路线设计提供理论依据,也为公路工程技术标准使用运行车速方法修改线形设计有关条款提供数据支持.详细分析了不同线形影响下驾驶员的信息采集处理过程,深入探讨小客车在高速公路自由流运行状态下的运行速度变化规律,应用数理统计方法建立了小客车运行速度模型.通过实测速度与预测速度的对比分析,印证了这一套速度预测模型精度高、适用范围广.

Research on Operating Speed Models of Free-flowing Passenger Car for Alignment Design of Highway

The objective of the paper is to develop a group of models of operating speed of free-flow passenger cars on freeway. The paper analyzed the driver's process of collecting and dealing with information in details. Based on a amount of field data, factors that influenced speed and corresponding rules of operating speed were definitely explored in this paper. A group of models used statistical methods were developed for prediction of operating speed of different alignments with design consistency concept. Compared with the result of field data, these models have the merit of high prediction accuracy of the 85th-percentile operating speed. The model could be applied widely in the alignment design approach of operating speed and traffic simulation. Finally, the paper had drawn a speed-profile of a freeway with these models. Thus designers and traffic engineers could diagnose and reduce inconsistency in design and ensure that most drivers would be able to operate safety at their speed along the entire alignments. This have settled good foundation for utilizing operating speed to rate design consistency. At the same time, it provids data support for geometric designer and researchers to use the operating speed concept and to establish the operating speed design criterion of highway in China.